VICI Properties is rated Buy with a $30 price target, offering 26% upside plus an 8% dividend yield. VICI's fundamentals remain strong: 100% occupancy, 100% triple-net leases, and a 39.4-year weighted average lease term. AFFO/share continues to grow (~5% annually), and the stock trades at a steep discount (9.6x 2026 AFFO vs. sector median 15x).
VICI Properties Inc. trades at a compelling valuation, with a wide margin of safety and a 7.6% dividend yield amid industry headwinds. Even under conservative assumptions—0% terminal growth and a 12% discount rate—VICI offers an implied 12% annual total return at current prices. VICI's portfolio is diversified across gaming and experiential assets, but concentration risk remains with Caesars (38% rent) and MGM (32%).
In the closing of the recent trading day, VICI Properties Inc. (VICI) stood at $24.11, denoting a -1.71% move from the preceding trading day.
Two REITs with radically different portfolios, one anchored in grocery stores and the other in casino resorts, just reported earnings that force a real choice between a legendary dividend streak and a yield that pays more from day one.
VICI's 25% sell-off is one of the best opportunities in the REIT space. I'm doubling down. Tenant risks with CZR and MGM are overblown, because they are well-mitigated. CZR and MGM going private can be a great opportunity, not just a risk. So Mr Market overpaniced with VICI's sell-off.
In the latest trading session, VICI Properties Inc. (VICI) closed at $24.73, marking a -1.9% move from the previous day.
VICI's valuation has fallen even as its cash flow has grown. Caesars regional lease is a real risk but likely manageable. Tenant privatizations may actually validate VICI's asset quality.
VICI Properties receives a Sell (D+) rating due to an unfavorable cost of capital versus acquisition yields and limited per-share growth prospects. VICI's weighted average cost of capital is now 8%, while recent acquisitions yield only 7.5%, resulting in value destruction on new deals. Organic rent escalators average just 2.2–2.5% annually, insufficient to offset rising interest costs from refinancing $17B+ in debt.
VICI Properties (VICI) reported earnings 30 days ago. What's next for the stock?
VICI Properties offers a 6.8% dividend yield with a consistent annual growth rate, supported by resilient experiential assets and long-term triple net leases. VICI is undervalued, trading at a significant discount to fair value, with multiple valuation models indicating 15.8%–22.95% expected compound annual total returns over five years. Growth prospects are strong, driven by new tenant partnerships, geographic expansion, and acquisitions, supporting a projected 5% CAGR in FFO and dividends.
I present my August top 5 dividend picks: PRGO, MZTI, NEE, TROW, and VICI, all rated Buy or Strong Buy for rising income and appreciation. Each pick trades at a significant discount to fair value (average 21.5%), offering an expected 5-year compound annual total return of ~12.5% and a 5.22% yield. PRGO, MZTI, and VICI stand out for deep undervaluation and robust dividend growth, with VICI offering a projected 15.8% CAGR and strong inflation-linked lease structures.
VICI Properties stands out as the value investor's choice among Triple Net REITs, offering deep discounts on P/FFO, NAV, and superior dividend yield. Despite VICI's compelling metrics, its YTD total return lags peers, reflecting ongoing sector headwinds and unpopularity tied to Vegas tenant struggles and travel downturns. Short-term volatility in VICI's share price presents informed trading opportunities, as repeated sharp dips have been followed by partial recoveries within the year.