Workday remains a Buy, with an adjusted base-case fair value of $200, implying ~49% upside from current levels (~$133.7). Despite AI-driven fears, Workday's economic moat (although a bit eroded over time) supports long-term resilience. Management shift prioritizes growth over margin expansion, with FY'27 revenue growth guided at ~12% but margins pressured by AI investments.
The recommendations of Wall Street analysts are often relied on by investors when deciding whether to buy, sell, or hold a stock. Media reports about these brokerage-firm-employed (or sell-side) analysts changing their ratings often affect a stock's price.
Workday is trading at its historically low valuations while seeking to reaffirm its enterprise software leadership role in the AI era. The market's pessimism over AI risk is overdone; WDAY's trusted position in the ERP industry and its evolving AI strategy remain underappreciated. WDAY's status as a reputable ‘system of record' provides a level of security and accountability that AI agents alone cannot replicate.
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Workday (WDAY) has decreased by 31.2% over the last 21 trading days, significantly underperforming the broader market and the enterprise software peer group. The selloff followed the company's softer-than-expected fiscal 2027 subscription revenue outlook, which signaled moderating growth after years of premium expansion.
Workday's NASDAQ: WDAY stock price decline did not end with its Q4 2025 earnings report; it continued to long-term lows, creating an even more attractive opportunity for investors. While guidance fell short of the consensus and AI disruption fears linger, the bar was set high, the miss is slim, guidance is solid, and disruption, well, it may not happen quite the way the market expects.
WDAY posts Q4 fiscal 2026 earnings and revenue beats, fueled by strong subscription demand, AI adoption and rising backlog, with an upbeat fiscal 2027 outlook.
Workday presents a compelling buy opportunity after a severe selloff driven by AI fears, despite resilient fundamentals and accelerating AI monetization. WDAY guides for FY27 subscription revenue growth of 12-13% and operating margins of 30%, maintaining Rule of 40 status and robust free cash flow. AI products now contribute over $400 million in ARR, with new agentic offerings driving larger expansion deals and significant customer ROI.
Workday (NASDAQ: WDAY) delivered a strong Q4 FY2026 report after Tuesday's close, but an initial after-hours selloff signals investors may have been hoping for more from the company's forward guidance.
Workday shares fell about 10% premarket on Wednesday after the enterprise software maker forecast downbeat revenue as corporations pull back on spending amid broader macroeconomic uncertainty.
The headline numbers for Workday (WDAY) give insight into how the company performed in the quarter ended January 2026, but it may be worthwhile to compare some of its key metrics to Wall Street estimates and the year-ago actuals.
Workday, Inc. (WDAY) Q4 2026 Earnings Call Transcript