Shares of Advanced Micro Devices ( NASDAQ:AMD ) exploded over the past month, gaining 12.19% after gaining 24.45% the month prior.
I am upgrading Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. to hold with a $202/share target, reflecting strong Client & Gaming growth offsetting Data Center deceleration. AMD is gaining market share from Intel, with robust Ryzen and EPYC sales and expanding gaming partnerships with Microsoft and Sony driving future upside. Data Center growth faced some headwinds in Q2 '25 from export controls and inventory write-downs, but Chinese market sales could resume pending export license approvals.
Advanced Micro Devices, Inc.'s Q2 slightly disappointed investors, with AMD stock falling directly post-earnings, but headwinds are getting clarified as the stock has rebounded. The MI355X price increase is optimistic as it signals robust demand, which increases optimism for MI400X on track to be out in 2026. AMD still continues to dominate the CPU space with an increase in revenue and unit share YoY as Intel admits that their CPU portfolio isn't very competitive right now.
AMD's decade-long investment in chiplets and adaptive compute is paying off, driving record data center revenue and real share gains against Nvidia. The Xilinx acquisition and chiplet architecture give AMD a unique edge in AI PCs and edge inference, positioning it for leadership in 'physical AI.' Hyperscaler adoption is moving from evaluation to deployment, with Meta, OpenAI, and Microsoft publicly confirming use of AMD Instinct for inference workloads.
The Trump administration's agreement to allow Nvidia Corp (NASDAQ:NVDA, ETR:NVD) and Advanced Micro Devices Inc (NASDAQ:AMD, ETR:AMD) to sell AI chips in China under export licenses, in exchange for 15% of profits, removes a key growth barrier and could spark the next phase of the AI boom, Wedbush analyst Dan Ives said. Ives called the deal “highly unusual” but said it was a “major growth catalyst” for Nvidia, AMD and the broader US Big Tech sector over the next 12 to 18 months.
The tech sector is no stranger to market-leading gains. Over the past eight years, it's finished first or second among the S&P 500's 11 sectors five times.
The Trump administration is still working out the details of its 15% export tax on Nvidia and could bring deals of this kind to more companies, the White House said Tuesday. "Right now it stands with these two companies.
AMD projects strong Q3 growth with AI, gaming, and client demand despite export curbs hitting margins and Q2 results.
U.S.-China trade tensions remain a key chokehold for Nvidia Corporation and Advanced Micro Devices, Inc., whose growth upside hinges on the fate of whether and when they'll resume AI chip exports to China. Further complicating the situation is President Trump's recent imposition of a 15% revenue sharing program on related sales. This accordingly injects new downside risks to their forward growth estimates, countering potential over-optimism currently priced into their valuations following the mid-July reversal of China export curbs.
Advanced Micro Devices' NASDAQ: AMD share price is rebounding so strongly in 2025 because the outlook originally priced into the market in 2023/2024 has finally been affirmed. If you are wondering if its share price can continue to rise, the answer is yes.
Amid a precipitous slowdown in its Data Center business, investors are questioning the sustainability of AMD's recent stock surge, as evidenced by its recent volatile price action. In today's report, we discuss AMD's Q2 2025 earnings and its prospects of becoming the Pepsi to Nvidia's Coke. With Mi350x, AMD achieved hardware performance parity with Nvidia. While the CUDA lock-in could limit meaningful market share capture, AMD looks destined for a bigger piece of the AI pie.
Key Points in This Article: Nvidia (NVDA) and Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) secured U.S.