Oracle Corporation (NYSE: ORCL) spent two decades as a database giant before pivoting hard into cloud infrastructure.
S&P 500 earnings are still expected to grow 14% in 2026, which is just 3 weeks away. Q4 '25 earnings won't start until January 10th, '26, but once Q4 earnings hit, investors get the best view of '26 guidance from managements, and then we'll see what the expected 14% growth rate for 2026 S&P 500 earnings looks like and how it changes. Oracle reports their fiscal Q2 '26 financial results on December 11th, after the market close. Oracle's credit default swaps (CDS) are getting a lot of attention, as they have increased in value for the software giant, meaning the probability of Oracle's debt defaulting has increased.
Oracle Corporation has experienced a steep 45% decline from its September peak, erasing prior AI-driven overvaluation. ORCL's fortunes are closely tied to OpenAI, with $300B of its $455B backlog linked to OpenAI's execution and market leadership. Despite negative free cash flow expected through FY2028 due to heavy CapEx, ORCL's core software and database margins remain robust.
This week, the Federal Reserve takes center stage.
Oracle is reiterated as a buy, with expectations that its recent highs will be exceeded as OCI drives substantial revenue growth. OCI's superior performance, cost advantages, and hybrid/multi-cloud architecture are fueling rapid market share gains and underpin long-term forecasts. Customer concentration risk with OpenAI is acknowledged, but capital-raising and execution risks are deemed manageable given Oracle's positioning.
Oracle (ORCL) closed at $217.58 in the latest trading session, marking a +1.52% move from the prior day.
Besides Wall Street's top-and-bottom-line estimates for Oracle (ORCL), review projections for some of its key metrics to gain a deeper understanding of how the company might have fared during the quarter ended November 2025.
Oracle (ORCL) has exhibited significant price increases historically. In 2025, it experienced a remarkable growth of more than 50% in just two months.
Oracle (ORCL) has exhibited significant price increases historically. In 2025, it experienced a remarkable growth of more than 50% in just two months.
One analyst expects the company will provide an update on financing needs that could show they're “less demanding” than what Wall Street fears.
Oracle (ORCL) has been one of the stocks most watched by Zacks.com users lately. So, it is worth exploring what lies ahead for the stock.
Oracle remains a Strong Buy with a $463 price target, despite rising debt and investor concerns over AI infrastructure exposure. ORCL's critical role in domestic AI infrastructure, especially through modular data centers and OpenAI commitments, underpins its long-term growth thesis. OpenAI's solvency and operating losses present concentration risk, but major hyperscaler backing is expected to sustain development momentum.