Gold prices staged a late-week recovery after coming under heavy pressure from hotter-than-expected U.S. inflation data, rising Treasury yields, and a firmer dollar, as falling bond yields and reduced expectations for an October Federal Reserve rate hike helped the precious metal recover much of its losses.
Gold heads into the coming week with investors focused on the health of the U.S. economy and the Federal Reserve's interest-rate outlook, as housing, employment and business activity data could drive volatility across precious metals markets.
Spot gold prices were near steady and spot silver prices were modestly higher in early U.S. trading Friday, as a softer dollar and lower Treasury yields on the week continued to support precious metals following Thursday's rebound.
Gold (XAUUSD) and silver price forecast: Fed rate path and 6.3% PPI steer metals as gold holds $4,176 and eyes $4,201, while silver tests $57.86 resistance.
Gold fell in early Asian trade. Investors are focusing on Fed Chairman Kevin Warsh's remarks at the International Monetary Fund meeting in Bangkok.
China's central bank added 23 tonnes of gold to its reserves last month, while the country's gold ETFs saw healthy inflows in September to cap a strong quarter, and the recent holidays and festivals saw demand for gold jewelry, bars and coins rise as prices moderated, according to Ray Jia, research head for China at the World Gold Council (WGC).
Gold is supposed to surge when inflation runs hot, but on the day a surprise CPI report rattled markets, the metal cratered instead. The reason traces back to a single number the Federal Reserve is watching very closely.
Inflation hit 3.7% and gold fell as much as $80. The former London bond broker, who bought his first gold in 2002, says the 40-year bond bull market is over and savers will pay for it.
– Gold prices are trading near session highs on Thursday morning after the Philadelphia Federal Reserve's manufacturing sector survey declined beyond expectations this month.The regional central bank said its manufacturing business outlook for October came in at 20.9 after a reading of 37.8 in September. The data was far worse than expected, as economists were looking for a reading of 28.4 this month.
Although persistent inflation remains a dominant force in the economy, its effects on the labor market remain muted, as the number of American workers applying for first-time unemployment benefits remains stable.Initial claims for state unemployment benefits came in at a seasonally adjusted 199,000 for the week ending October 10, the Labor Department announced Thursday. The number was in line with consensus estimates.
Gold prices were trading near session highs after manufacturing activity in the New York region rose further into expansionary territory this month, though price pressures and the outlook worsened, according to the latest data published by the New York Federal Reserve.
The gold market is trading near session highs after the latest data showed American consumers' spending rising more than expected last month.U.S. retail sales rose 0.8% in September following a revised reading of 1.3% in August, the U.S. Commerce Department announced on Thursday. The data was better than expectations, as the consensus of economists projected a 0.3% increase in September's headline number.