Gold broke below $4,500 and kept falling even as U.S.-Iran fighting resumed, highlighting the pressure from a stronger dollar, higher oil prices and a hawkish Fed outlook.
After seeing its biggest monthly gain since the start of the year, the gold market is starting September on the back foot as prices test support near $4,350 an ounce.
Blue Line Futures' Phil Streible told Kitco News on Monday that a close below 4,350 would change his mind on gold. It touched 4,325 on Tuesday morning
The Treasury Department and the Federal Reserve are sending mixed signals to the market, but recent events have been net negative for gold on balance, with prices retreating and bond yields on the rise across the globe, according to the World Gold Council (WGC).
The gold market remains under pressure, testing support around $4,350 an ounce even as the U.S. labor market continues to lose momentum, with the number of available jobs remaining uninspiring.
Gold markets are dropping early on Tuesday, as rates continue to rise in America and beyond. The market has reached a fresh 10-day low as rate repricing puts pressure on the non-yielding asset.
Spot gold and silver prices are sharply lower in early U.S. trading Tuesday, pressured by a global bond selloff, firmer U.S. dollar and rising oil prices as traders priced a higher probability of a September Fed rate hike.
Gold rose. The macro environment has become more supportive with softer U.S. data, easing yield pressures and a less consistently strong U.S. dollar which helps precious metals regain momentum, OCBC said.
Spot gold prices are slightly lower and spot silver prices are modestly higher in late-afternoon U.S. trading Monday, as renewed U.S.-Iran military escalation lifted oil prices, pushed long-end Treasury yields higher and kept pressure on non-yielding metals after Friday's hawkish Fed shock.
The Treasury Department's doubling of planned U.S. debt buybacks has intensified debate about bond market intervention and has revived the USD debasement trade, with gold and silver benefiting from a renewed focus on the fiscal position of the United States, according to analysts at Julius Baer.
Despite all the volatility so far this year as gold suffered a significant correction from its record highs, one fund manager says the precious metal's secular bull market remains firmly intact, with expanding global money supply and unsustainable government debt ultimately driving prices toward $20,000 an ounce.
Fed Chairman Kevin Warsh leaned hawkish in his speech from Jackson Hole, Wyoming on Friday, reiterating the central bank's commitment to keeping inflation under control, and this stance could be a significant headwind for gold in the near term, according to Bart Melek, Head of Commodity Research at TD Securities.