JPMorgan BetaBuilders MSCI US REIT ETF (BBRE)
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REITs Remain On Naughty List
U.S. equity markets rebounded after their worst week since November, while interest rates swelled to fresh seven-month highs as investors parsed data showing relatively strong retail and travel demand trends. Recovering from a slide of over 2% last week, the S&P 500 advanced 0.7%, lifting its year-to-date gains to over 26%. The Nasdaq 100 extended its 2024 gains to 28%. Real estate equities underperformed again following punishing declines last week on the heels of the Fed's hawkish pivot, and remain significant laggards for a second-straight year with muted 4% gains.
The State Of REITs: December 2024 Edition
The REIT sector bounced back from a rough October with a strong +3.19% average total return in November. Small cap (+4.19%), mid cap (+3.70%), and large cap (+3.39%) REITs averaged gains in November, while micro caps (-0.81%) finished the month in the red. 74.19% of REIT securities had a positive total return in November.
Very Bad News For REITs
Trump's election victory is bad news for many REITs. His policies are perceived to be inflationary. As a result, interest rates may remain higher for longer.
At-The-Market Issuance By U.S. REITs Hits All-Time Quarterly High In Q3 2024
Total proceeds raised by US equity real estate investment trusts through at-the-market offering programs rocketed to an all-time high in the third quarter. US REITs raised an aggregate of $7.21 billion in proceeds through their at-the-market programs during the quarter. By property sector, healthcare REITs raised the most capital through their ATM programs during the quarter, at $2.65 billion.
Perspectives: Listed REITs - Fall Edition
Public REITs have benefited from a great rotation within equity markets since the end of June, with U.S. REITs returning 13.2% vs. S&P 500 3.7%. Clear evidence of a growth slowdown and moderating inflation has increased the market's conviction Fed rate cuts are imminent. REITs in sectors such as senior housing, single-family rental, cold warehouse storage, and wireless towers are a compelling opportunity with visible, defensive cash flows that offer attractive growth under a variety of economic outcomes.
The Time Has Come
U.S. equity markets rallied this week while benchmark interest rates tumbled to the lows of the year after Fed Chair Powell stated that the "time has come" to cut rates. The dovish pivot, underscored by an emphasis on "cooling labor markets," was further supported by data from the BLS showing that job growth has been far weaker than initially reported. The S&P 500 gained 1.4% this week, lifting the major benchmark to back within 0.5% of all-time record-highs. The Small-Cap 600 and Mid-Cap 400 each rallied nearly 3%.
The REIT Comeback: Earnings Recap
Over 200 U.S. REITs and homebuilders have reported second-quarter earnings results over the past six weeks, providing critical information on the state of the commercial and residential real estate industry. In this report, we highlight some quick incremental positives and negatives we've observed across each of the major property sectors. Next week, we'll publish our detailed "Winners & Losers" Report. Of the 96 equity REITs that provide full-year FFO guidance, 57 (59%) raised their outlook, while 13 (14%) lowered - well above the historical second-quarter average "raise rate" of 40-45%.
REIT Earnings Halftime Report
We're at the halfway point of another consequential real estate earnings season, with 75 of the roughly 150 equity REITs and 19 of 38 mortgage REITs now having reported results. Amid an otherwise underwhelming earnings season across the broader equity market, REIT earnings results thus far have been materially better than anticipated, providing an added tailwind to rate-related optimism. Of the 65 equity REITs that have provided full-year guidance for Funds from Operations ("FFO"), 44 (68%) have raised their full-year outlook, while just 6 (8%) have lowered their outlook.
3 REIT Types Poised To Soar
REITs are surging in value right now. Some REITs have a lot more upside potential than others. Here are three types of REITs that will soar.
The State Of REITs: July 2024
The REIT sector continued to recover in June with a +1.12% average total return, but closed out the first half of the year in the red (-3.86%). Micro cap REITs (-3.79%) averaged a negative total return in June, but small caps (+1.01%), mid-caps (+2.29%) and large caps (+2.88%) finished in the black. 65.58% of REIT securities had a positive total return in June.
Why More Rate Cuts May Be Needed To Help Lift REITs
Rate cuts have finally arrived, but why hasn't it benefitted REITs? What's needed to lift the REITs market. Why REITs are still struggling.
The State Of REITs: June 2024 Edition
After a rough start to the year, REITs partially bounced back in May with a +2.51% average total return. Small-cap REITs (-0.48%) averaged a negative return in May, but micro caps (+5.09%), large caps (+4.28%) and mid caps (+3.35%) were solidly in the black. 74.03% of REIT securities had a positive total return in May.
