Prediction markets have priced out any near-term resolution, with a US-Iran deal now seen as a May or June event at the earliest. Polymarket, the prediction market platform, is pricing just a 31% chance of a permanent US-Iran peace deal by the end of May, rising to 48% by the end of June, signalling that traders expect Persian Gulf oil disruption to persist for weeks and potentially months yet.
Analysts at the investment bank upgraded their forecast for West Texas Intermediate to $83 a barrel by the fourth quarter of 2026
U.S. stock futures edged lower. Talks expected to take place between the U.S. and Iran over the weekend didn't go ahead, dragging on investor sentiment.
Stocks slip at the start of a busy earnings week.
Consumers should buy airline tickets as soon as possible to avoid the risk of higher fares caused by rising oil prices triggered by the war in Iran, Spain's industry and tourism minister said.
Oil rose in Asia amid rising tensions related to the Strait of Hormuz, while equities in the region advanced gained tracking Wall Street's gains on Friday.
Oil rose amid ongoing Middle East tensions. The stalemate continues, Strait of Hormuz remains shut, and this should keep oil prices supported, said FOERX.com.
Supply fear is holding Brent crude oil up but demand is pushing back. This week's price action will determine if the rally has legs or starts to grind.
Goldman Sachs has raised its oil price forecasts for the fourth quarter to $90 a barrel for Brent crude and $83 for U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI), on lower output from the Middle East.
Oil prices rose, the dollar inched higher and U.S. stock futures wobbled lower in early Asia trade on Monday after U.S.-Iran peace talks stalled over the weekend, leaving Gulf shipping blocked.
U.S. stock-index futures dropped on Sunday as oil prices rose, ahead of a key week for Wall Street following record highs for the S&P 500 and the tech-heavy Nasdaq.
In a war between oil exporters, those dependent on energy imports find themselves at the forefront of a global crisis.