il rises amid few signs of the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz.
Oil prices rose more than 2% in early trading on Monday after Israel ordered troops to move further into Lebanon in the battle with the Iranian-backed Hezbollah militant group, despite a ceasefire announced more than six weeks ago.
U.S. stock-index futures were little changed on Sunday, as Wall Street looks to stretch the market's record-setting rally into June.
The economic highlight of the coming week will be the May jobs report set for release on Friday.
Oil tanker traffic through the Strait of Hormuz may not return to prewar levels even if the U.S. and Iran reach a deal. Ship traffic in the Red Sea, for example, plummeted in early 2024 due to Houthi militant attacks.
Guyana was already the world's fastest growing economy before the U.S.-Israeli war on Iran drove up oil prices. Now, the tiny Caribbean nation of nearly 1 million people will reap an even bigger bonanza as the conflict reshapes global energy markets.
Brent crude fell 19% in May, its sharpest monthly drop since 2020.
Prices at gas pumps are starting to sink and oil is on track to drop 20% in May as investors remain optimistic that a ceasefire deal to end the Iran war is near.
This week executives from both Exxon and Chevron, two of the largest oil producers in the United States came out and said oil could hit 160 dollars within weeks. Senior Vice President of Exxon Neil Chapman warned at the Bernstein conference that inventory levels of crude and gasoline are at historic lows and are reaching their operational floor.
Oil prices fell Friday after President Donald Trump said he is meeting in the White House Situation Room to make a final determination about a deal with Iran.
Reports of an imminent ceasefire in the Iran conflict are running well ahead of reality, RBC Capital Markets has warned, as global oil inventories continue to drain at a pace that may be more severe than headline figures suggest. The bank's commodity strategy team says that despite widespread speculation about a 60-day memorandum of understanding (MOU) that would reopen the Strait of Hormuz to unrestricted navigation, the situation on the ground remains deeply uncertain.
Analysts have increased their 2026 oil price forecasts for the third time since the Iran war began at the end of February, as they cite a months-long timeline for energy flows to normalise to pre-conflict levels, a monthly Reuters poll showed on Friday.