CAD/JPY is on a winning streak despite a notable spike in geopolitical risk following renewed US-Iran hostilities. Why has the yen lost it?
On the dollar side, Fed Chair Kevin Warsh has struck a firm tone, reaffirming the 2% inflation target and pushing back against political pressure to cut rates, while sticky PCE inflation near 4% keeps hike odds alive for September. Yet June payrolls came in softer and speculative USD positioning looks stretched, raising doubts on how much further the rally can extend.
The Pound to Canadian Dollar (GBP/CAD) exchange rate edged higher on Tuesday as falling oil prices undermined the commodity-linked Canadian Dollar while easing UK borrowing costs offered modest support to Sterling. At the time of writing, GBP/CAD was trading around CA$1.8640, modestly higher on the day.