L3Harris Technologies targets 8% organic revenue CAGR and 15%+ cash flow CAGR through 2028, underpinned by robust defense demand. The pending Missile Solutions IPO, now delayed to mid-2027, is expected to unlock further shareholder value as the segment nears its growth inflection. LHX is trading below its five-year average valuation despite sector tailwinds and elevated growth prospects, presenting a compelling entry point.
Amadeus IT Group remains a buy despite a 30% stock decline driven by AI-related fears, which are viewed as overblown. AI is more an opportunity than a threat for AMADY, leveraging its vast operational data and high switching costs in Airline IT and GDS. Operational metrics are improving: sales and margins are expanding, with EBITDA CAGR of 8% and free cash flow CAGR of 5.2% from 2024.
Philip Morris delivers an enviable, profitable growth trend, driven by the improving pricing power/growing volumes in the smoke-free segment and the excellent price elasticity of its combustible segment. The smoke-free segment drives top- and bottom-line growth, now comprising over 41% of revenues while delivering gross margins of 69.5% in FY2025, supporting its premium P/E valuation. PM already guides excellent net revenue growth at a 3Y CAGR of 6–8% and adj EPS at a CAGR of 9-11%, supported by global expansion and a diversified smoke-free portfolio.
Invesco QQQ Trust (QQQ) delivers strong long-term returns but carries significant downside risk and volatility, making it unsuitable for volatile markets. QQQ's tech-heavy NASDAQ 100 index composition results in high beta (1.30), steep drawdowns, and poor tail risk protection, as seen in its 73% loss from 2000-2002. SPHQ offers a better alternative and outperforms the overall market in a variety of market conditions.
Very few investors can match Stanley Druckenmiller.
The November 2025 high-yield dividend watchlist highlights 10 stocks selected for quality, value, and attractive starting yields, aiming for a 12% CAGR. The watchlist's five-year CAGR is 14.49%, trailing SPY and VYM but offering higher yields, with 81% of stocks delivering positive returns since inception. Recent changes include lowering the minimum yield threshold to 2.5% and expanding the list to test Quality and Value-focused portfolios for broader idea generation.
PagSeguro Digital is poised for strong growth, with robust financials and a 15% EPS CAGR since 2018. Meanwhile, PAGS targets >16% EPS CAGR from 2025-2029, offers double-digit shareholder yields, and trades at an attractive 6.35x PE ratio. Risks include intense competition, high Brazilian interest rates persisting for longer, and political uncertainty, but PAGS' regional expansion initiatives offer upside.
Merck & Co. is rated a Strong Buy at $79.89, offering robust growth, a 4% yield, and significant undervaluation. MRK's pipeline, led by Keytruda derivatives and new blockbusters from acquisitions like Verona Pharma, is expected to offset patent expirations and drive future revenue. Dividend growth is projected at 6.5% CAGR, supported by a strong balance sheet, high profitability, and superior free cash flow versus peers.
My watchlist outperformed SPY and VYM since July 1st, offering higher yield and competitive total returns, despite trailing benchmarks year-to-date. The strategy focuses on high-quality, attractively valued, high-yield stocks, aiming for a long-term CAGR of 12% and strong dividend growth. Since inception, the watchlist achieved a 15.61% CAGR and an 83.5% success rate in positive returns, validating the stock selection process.
My watchlist aims to identify high-quality, high-yield stocks trading at attractive valuations, outperforming benchmarks in yield, and offering strong long-term CAGR. The August 2025 Top 10 list remains unchanged from the prior month, featuring an average forward yield of 3.51% and a projected 15.58% expected rate of return. Since its inception, my watchlist has had a CAGR of 15.24%, performing in line with SPY and VYM while providing a superior dividend yield.
RCL aims for 20% EPS CAGR through 2027, banking on pricing power, steady demand and strong cost control.
My July 2025 watchlist focuses on high-yield, attractively valued stocks, aiming for a 12% long-term CAGR and outperforming benchmarks. Since its inception, my watchlist has a CAGR of 15.11%, performing in-line with SPY and VYM, while providing a superior dividend yield. The June 2025 watchlist includes 10 stocks with an average forward dividend yield of 3.54% and an expected return of 13.62%.