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Moody's: The Drop Was Expected, Now Looking At 2026
Moody's delivered record Q4 results, but I maintain a 'Hold' rating due to valuation concerns. MCO's growth remains robust, with double-digit AEPS and 9% top-line growth, yet recurring sales growth is slowing. The 2026E outlook appears too bullish, particularly regarding FX, unemployment, and rating issuance assumptions.
MCO Q4 Earnings Beat on Rising Analytics Demand & High Issuance Volume
Moody's tops Q4 estimates as analytics demand and Moody's Investors Service strength lift revenues, while expenses edge higher.
Moody's (MCO) Reports Q4 Earnings: What Key Metrics Have to Say
Although the revenue and EPS for Moody's (MCO) give a sense of how its business performed in the quarter ended December 2025, it might be worth considering how some key metrics compare with Wall Street estimates and the year-ago numbers.
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Moody's Corporation Profile
| Financial Services Industry | Financials Sector | Robert Scott Fauber CEO | XHAN Exchange | US6153691059 ISIN |
| US Country | 15,795 Employees | 2 Mar 2026 Last Dividend | 19 May 2005 Last Split | 3 Oct 2000 IPO Date |
Overview
Moody's Corporation stands out as a comprehensive risk assessment entity with global operations. The firm is divided into two main segments: Moody's Analytics and Moody's Investors Services. Moody's Analytics focuses on developing products and services aimed at enhancing the risk management capabilities of financial market participants. On the other hand, Moody's Investors Service is dedicated to publishing credit ratings and providing assessment services for a wide range of debt obligations. Originally known as Dun and Bradstreet Company, the corporation underwent a name change to Moody's Corporation in September 2000. Founded in the early 20th century, in 1900, Moody's Corporation has established its headquarters in New York, New York, marking over a century of expertise in the financial sector.
Products and Services
Moody's Corporation provides a suite of products and services across its two operational segments, catering to varied risk management needs:
- Credit Research, Credit Models and Analytics: This suite offers comprehensive credit analysis tools, including models and analytics, facilitating in-depth credit risk evaluation.
- Economics Data and Models: Provides essential economic datasets and models, supporting institutions in making informed decisions based on macroeconomic trends.
- Structured Finance Solutions: Tailored solutions designed to address the complex needs of structured finance, enhancing efficiency and decision-making in this niche area.
- Data sets on companies and securities: Offers detailed and expansive data sets on a wide array of companies and securities, enabling robust analysis and insight generation.
- SaaS Solutions: Software as a Service solutions that bolster banking, insurance, and Know Your Customer (KYC) workflows, integrating smoothly into client operations to enhance efficiency and compliance.
- Credit Ratings: In the realm of Moody's Investors Service, the segment publishes credit ratings that cover a broad spectrum of debt obligations, offering critical assessments that inform investment and risk assessment decisions.
- Assessment Services: Alongside credit ratings, this service provides detailed assessments on diverse debt instruments and the entities issuing them, spanning from corporate and financial institutions to governmental obligations and structured finance securities.
