The iShares MSCI Japan Value ETF has delivered solid gains so far in 2026, boosted by attractive valuations and lower political risk in Japan. While recent energy price volatility is likely to negatively affect earnings growth at cyclical Japanese companies, I rank EWJV a Buy for investors focused on long-term total returns. EWJV holdings trade at a steep discount relative to the S&P 500, indicating a significant margin of safety as long as the Japanese economy does not enter a recession.
iShares MSCI Japan Value ETF trades at a 14.15 P/E, significantly cheaper than U.S. value ETFs. EWJV benefits from Japan's recent rate hikes, potential Yen appreciation, and remains attractively valued at 84% of Graham's intrinsic value metric for the entire ETF as an average. The ETF's top holdings include Toyota and major Japanese trading houses, with a low 3-year standard deviation of 10.94%.
Despite a narrower mandate, EWJV's expense ratio is 0.15% against the 0.5% for broader EWJ. However, EWJV is more indexed to financials and less indexed to IT which is an export-led market as well, particularly in semiconductors. With the political reality in Japan threatening the Yen, we'd rather export led exposures right now.
iShares MSCI Japan Value ETF's sector selection, with heavy financials and export-oriented industries, increases vulnerability to yen weakness and U.S. tariffs. Upcoming Japanese elections and potential stimulus could further weaken the yen, linked also to raising rates hurting equities. A weaker yen could be worsened by a reignited carry trade, and financials have the most to lose here with little foreign FX inflows as a hedge.
US markets are at all-time highs, prompting me to seek undervalued opportunities, leading me to take a mental trip to Japan. My previous Japanese investments have yielded great returns as the Nikkei rose. Now, I'm analyzing the iShares MSCI Japan Value ETF to see if it still holds any value. As EWJV holds mostly financial and automobile companies, the current valuation doesn't look attractive.
Japan's equities gained traction due to Warren Buffett's interest and regulatory actions aimed at improving investor sentiment, with notable companies like Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group seeing price increases. BlackRock's iShares MSCI Japan Value ETF targets large- and mid-cap Japanese equities with value characteristics, but its performance hasn't outpaced the broader Japanese market. Japan's long-term economic challenges include deflation and demographic issues, but companies like Toyota and Honda maintain strong global presence and profitability.
EWJV provides low-cost access to 134 large and mid-cap Japanese stocks with value characteristics. Despite outperforming developed markets by over 2x during the past year, EWJV's valuations still look reasonable. The growth landscape does not look too alluring in Japan.