Fannie Mae (FNMA) presents a significant opportunity, especially if privatized, with potential stock value reaching $31-$34 per share, supported by Bill Ackman's analysis. Key considerations include maintaining low mortgage rates and addressing the senior preferred debt on Fannie Mae's balance sheet, with cautious optimism on both fronts. Housing Urban Secretary Scott Turner's recent push for privatization and Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent's focus on mortgage rates are pivotal developments since investors focused on the companies last month.
Bill Ackman built a net worth of $9.3 billion by spotting promising opportunities. The hedge fund manager doesn't usually reveal the opportunities he likes to the public.
Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac are both expected to be recapitalized during the Trump administration. FMCC shows higher growth and potential gains, but faces larger capital requirements and IPO delays, posing higher risks. Preferred stock conversion to common shares is advantageous for FNMA due to its earlier timeline, though several FMCC preferreds are cheaper.
Compass Point senior policy and research analyst Ed Groshans says the agreement by the Department of the Treasury and Federal Housing Finance Agency to amend the preferred stock purchase agreements between Treasury and Fannie Mae (FNMA) and Freddie Mac (FMCC) is the "clearest signal yet" that the Trump administration will begin the process to release the government-sponsored enterprises from conservatorship. The Trump transition team is working with each federal agency to prepare to implement Trump's agenda once he is inaugurated, the analyst tells investors in a research note. It appears that the preparations at Treasury and FHFA have raised concerns for the Biden administration, which resulted in the publication of the letter agreement and side letter agreement," Compass adds. The firm expects Trump will direct the agencies' actions and any of the recent changes that are not aligned with Trump's goals will be undone. Shares of Fannie and Freddie are rallying this morning following the agreement. Fannie Mae +0.16 (+4.88%) Freddie Mac +0.1045 (+3.20%)
Fannie Mae is one of the best 'Trump Trades', as it offers asymmetric rewards to risk. With the government's purchase warrants set to expire in 2028, I believe the GSE's status will be resolved in the next few years. However, I do not believe it is the 10x returns widely touted by speculators and hedge fund managers.
Don't count on Fed cuts to lower mortgage rates. Instead, build a strong credit record so you qualify for the cheapest loan.
Federal National Mortgage Association (OTCQB:FNMA) Q3 2024 Earnings Conference Call October 31, 2024 9:00 AM ET Company Participants Priscilla Almodovar - President, Chief Executive Officer Chryssa Halley - Executive Vice President, Chief Financial Officer Pete Bakel - Director of External Communications Conference Call Participants Operator Good day and welcome to the Fannie Mae third quarter 2024 financial results conference call. At this time, I will now turn it over to your host, Pete Bakel, Fannie Mae's Director of External Communications.
Fannie Mae CEO Priscilla Almodovar talks to MarketWatch about how the lock-in effect, high mortgage rates and climate risk are affecting home buyers.
A record number of consumers expect mortgage rates to fall over the next year. They're also bracing for an increase in home prices.
Preferred stock of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac should rise sharply if Donald Trump wins. Recent prices are out of line with the election odds. I estimate the potential gains and losses for investors in the immediate aftermath of the election based on the 2016 and 2020 patterns.
Consumers are feeling frustrated by the housing market as home prices march to new heights, a new survey says.
Federal National Mortgage Association (OTCQB:FNMA) Q2 2024 Earnings Conference Call July 30, 2024 8:00 AM ET Company Participants Pete Bakel - Director of External Communications Priscilla Almodovar - President and CEO Chryssa Halley - CFO Conference Call Participants Operator Good day, and welcome to the Fannie Mae Second Quarter 2024 Financial Results Conference Call. At this time, I will now turn it over to your host, Pete Bakel, Fannie Mae's Director of External Communications.