IFN, an ETF focused on Indian equities, has significantly underperformed the S&P 500, risk-free US returns, and even Indian benchmarks on a currency-adjusted basis. The recent energy spikes have resulted in further pressure on domestic equities and the currency. Elevated oil prices directly affect the current account balance, along with an impact on GDP. IFN is rated as a sell, rising energy prices act as a negative for equities while persistent currency depreciation erodes USD-denominated returns, making broad-based Indian equity exposure unattractive for now.
The India Fund Inc remains unattractive due to persistent high valuations and underperformance versus peers and benchmarks. Despite India's robust economic growth and strong consumer sentiment, IFN's portfolio trades at a PE above 30, exceeding the MSCI India Index. Recent tariff risks, geopolitical uncertainty, and a narrow 3% discount to NAV heighten the risk of further discount widening.
IFN offers exposure to India's long-term growth driven by demographics, consumption, and structural reforms, though current market consolidation and valuation pressures demand cautious positioning. The fund's ~11.5% yield is attractive but largely fueled by capital appreciation, making sustainability dependent on continued Indian market performance and active management success. IFN provides partial diversification benefits for U.S. investors, though correlations with global markets remain high, limiting defensive appeal except during brief geopolitical or macro dislocations.
India Fund trades at elevated valuations — top holdings average a 41x P/E ratio, pricing in perfection and leaving little room for error. India is in the boom phase of its cycle, which historically leads to future disappointments for latecomers. Valuations and sentiment mirror pre-crash China in 2007. Charlie Munger's advice to "fish where the fish are" inspires my focus on overlooked opportunities in emerging markets. There aren't many fish in India left.
Indian equities have begun to recover after a torrid few months. Actively managed IFN is positioned to outperform on the way up. Investors get a +10% yield to sit and wait.
IFN has experienced considerable volatility this year but has managed to outperform other pockets largely due to its distributions. IFN's valuations are not as prohibitive as what it was 8 months back, but its closed-ended peer-IIF and IEMG (a proxy of emerging markets) offer a better earnings valuation tradeoff. Indian banks, which dominate IFN, are suffering from below-par loan growth, and the RBI's shift in stance is likely to put pressure on net interest margins.
PHILADELPHIA, PA / ACCESSWIRE / January 10, 2025 / The abrdn U.S. Closed-End Funds (NYSE:ASGI, HQH, HQL, IFN, JEQ, THQ)(NYSE American:IAF) (the "Funds" or individually the "Fund"), today announced that the Funds paid the distributions noted in the table below on January 10, 2025, on a per share basis to all shareholders of record as of December 30, 2024 (ex-dividend date December 30, 2024). These dates apply to the Funds listed below with the exception of abrdn Healthcare Investors (HQH), abrdn Life Sciences Investors (HQL), abrdn Australia Equity Fund, Inc. (IAF), the India Fund Inc. (IFN) and abrdn Japan Equity Fund, Inc. (JEQ) which paid on January 10, 2025, to all shareholders of record as of November 21, 2024 (ex-dividend date November 21, 2024).
After three successive years of outperforming global stocks, The India Fund (IFN) is on course to reverse that narrative. Relative to the rest of the globe, India's growth prospects still look alluring, but relative to its own lofty standards, questions may be asked. The INR keeps dropping to record lows every other week, and this may dampen enthusiasm from foreign institutions.
PHILADELPHIA, PA / ACCESSWIRE / November 11, 2024 / The following abrdn U.S. Closed-End Funds (NYSE:ACP, AGD, AOD, ASGI, AWP, HQH, HQL, IFN, JEQ, THQ, THW)(NYSE American:FAX, FCO, IAF, VFL), announced today that the closed end funds in the chart directly below will pay the distributions indicated on a per share basis on November 29, 2024 to all shareholders of record as of November 21, 2024 (ex-dividend date November 21, 2024). These dates apply to the Funds listed below with the exception of the abrdn Healthcare Investors (HQH), the abrdn Life Sciences Investors (HQL), the abrdn Australia Equity Fund, Inc. (IAF), the India Fund, Inc. (IFN) and the abrdn Japan Equity Fund, Inc. (JEQ) which will pay on January 10, 2025 to all shareholders of record as of November 21, 2024 (ex-dividend date November 21, 2024).
The abrdn-managed India Fund has undergone some changes. But remains a fund well-equipped to navigate turbulence. Patient investors get paid very well to sit and wait.
PHILADELPHIA, PA / ACCESSWIRE / September 30, 2024 / The abrdn U.S. Closed-End Funds (NYSE:ASGI, HQH, HQL, IFN, JEQ, THQ)(NYSE American:IAF), (the "Funds" or individually the "Fund"), today announced that the Funds paid the distributions noted in the table below on September 30, 2024, on a per share basis to all shareholders of record as of September 23, 2024 (ex-dividend date September 23, 2024). These dates apply to the Funds listed below with the exception of abrdn Healthcare Investors (HQH), abrdn Life Sciences Investors (HQL), abrdn Australia Equity Fund, Inc. (IAF), the India Fund Inc. (IFN) and abrdn Japan Equity Fund, Inc. (JEQ) which paid on September 30, 2024, to all shareholders of record as of August 23, 2024 (ex-dividend date August 23, 2024), and the abrdn Global Infrastructure Income Fund (ASGI) which paid on September 30, 2024, to all shareholders of record as of September 20, 2024 (ex-dividend date September 20, 2024).
Don't be fooled by the India Fund's headline underperformance. The case to own IFN long-term is as compelling as it's ever been. In the meantime, investors get paid very well to sit and wait.