Yields on 10-year Japan government bonds touched a 30-year high last month. Now market participants are pondering the effects of those higher yields on stocks in the Land of the Rising Sun.
The yen recently hit multi-decade lows against the U.S. dollar, providing support for a slew of export-driven Japan equities. Yen weakness is a catalyst for variety of Japan ETFs, including the WisdomTree Japan Opportunities Fund (OPPJ).
As of May 4, the MSCI Japan Index holds a year-to-date advantage of 450 basis points over the S&P 500. Investors could be doing even better, though, with more unique approaches to Japan equities.
I rate WisdomTree Japan Opportunities Fund a Hold due to a limited margin of safety after significant rerating in top holdings. OPPJ is now a concentrated large-cap Japanese fund with dynamic currency hedging, not the diversified small-cap vehicle it once was. Structural Japan tailwinds—governance reform, record buybacks, and BoJ tightening—support the thesis, but the current entry lacks a compelling risk-adjusted return.
Japan is a major oil importer. That explains the vulnerabilities of the country's equity market to conflict in Iran.