The next few weeks will bring a slew of second-quarter earnings reports from large-cap communication services and technology companies. That means investors could glean more insight regarding the vibrancy around the AI investment thesis.
Judging by yield spread, QQQ's valuation premium over value stocks is among the highest levels in two decades. Historically, value stocks have outperformed growth stocks in the long term. I see large odds for the history pattern to repeat given the extreme value-growth gap.
The Nasdaq 100 underperformed the Russell 2000 last week as traders sold off the winners and covered the shorts. The trigger was the below expectations CPI report, and the falling inflation usually accompanies the recessions.
The second half of 2024 is now underway. There are myriad reviews about what worked well in equity markets in the first half and what assets and themes could deliver for investors over the next six months.
With fewer and fewer stocks leading the stock market higher and higher, market concentration has reached extreme levels - last observed during the Great Depression. In an indication of macroeconomic weakness, small-caps and cyclical sectors are not participating in the ongoing bull run, and poor market breadth signals classic late-cycle behavior. Given that mega-cap tech stocks make up more than half of QQQ ETF, a mean reversion trade propelled by an impending earnings slowdown could cause havoc in QQQ.
With a more than 52% weight to tech stocks as of July 3, the Nasdaq-100 Index (NDX) is rightly viewed as a tech-heavy index. However, investors should not ignore the gauge's exposure to the communication services sector – a tech-esque group in its own right.
The technology sector was the biggest winner in the first half of the year. Much of that bullishness was attributable to AI and semiconductor equities.
Market experts have long opined on the benefits of diversification. More recently, many of them have called attention to increasing concentration risk in some previously diverse broad market equity gauges.
Nvidia's expensive valuation could limit the returns investors might get from owning the stock in the long run. Investing in an exchange-traded fund can provide investors with a good mix of growth and diversification.
Friday marks the end of the second quarter and the completion of the first half of the year. This means now is the time for investors to reflect on what worked in the first six months and strategize for the second half.
This ETF is for investors looking to gain low-cost exposure to innovative businesses. If you'd invested in this ETF a decade ago, you would have more than quintupled your money.
Invesco QQQ Trust (NASDAQ: QQQ) is an ETF that tracks the performance of the 100 largest companies listed on the Nasdaq.