The Risk Parity ETF offers a practical, modestly leveraged, multi-asset solution targeting 7%+ annual returns, with UPAR providing higher potential via increased leverage. Risk parity frameworks, allocating more to lower-volatility assets, optimize portfolio construction and can be enhanced by responsible leverage to meet higher return targets. Deep diversification across loosely correlated asset classes often delivers superior risk-adjusted returns versus traditional equity-heavy portfolios.
My track record on multi-asset class investing has been poor, but I believe RPAR could deliver high-single digit to low-double digit returns annually over the next decade. RPAR's strategy involves leveraging a diversified portfolio of low-correlation assets, balancing risk by investing more in low-volatility assets. Despite recent poor performance due to a massive bond bear market, historical data and CAPM suggest future returns could improve to around 8% annually or more.
RPAR ETF has delivered almost 7% returns since November, recouping some of its 2022 losses. Revisiting the RPAR ETF's design, I believe its heavy allocation to bonds will cause it to underperform in the coming years. Instead of the RPAR, investors may be able to achieve superior diversified returns using low-cost ETFs.