Moreover, the rotation is gaining momentum, judging by the latest SCHD-SPY divergence in terms of price, valuation, and fund flow. SCHD's price recently started to outperform SPY by a sizable margin and also broke out of its long-term resistance. Valuation and yield spreads between SCHD and SPY remain elevated above historical averages but are narrowing, and further narrowing is expected based on FWD projections.
The Schwab U.S. Dividend Equity ETF (SCHD) receives a 'hold' rating ahead of its March 2026 Index reconstitution due to portfolio uncertainty. However, the forecasted changes are largely positive. I anticipate Energy sector exposure declining from 20% to 12%, as Halliburton, Valero Energy, and Ovintiv may exit the Index. Financials receive a 5% boost in my model. Apart from highlighting potential changes, this article questions if ROE is an appropriate quality screen. I also modeled a ROTC screen, which confirmed a bias for leveraged sectors like Financials.
SCHD remains a great dividend Buy despite the recent uptrend, thanks to the diversified sector exposure and the richer yields/payout growth compared to the wider market. The top holdings, notably BMY and VZ, offer discounted valuations and resilient dividends, with ongoing portfolio/operational renewal supporting future capital appreciation. The increased energy sector exposure at 20.44% introduces volatility risk due to ongoing spot price moderation and Venezuela risks, but a possible rebalancing may offset these headwinds.
My 4-Factor Dividend Growth Portfolio, launched November 2022, consistently outperforms SCHD, with a 14.74% CAGR over 38 months versus SCHD's 7.28%. The strategy selects 20 stocks annually using free cash flow to debt, 5-year dividend growth, ROIC, and forward yield from a screened universe of high-quality dividend growers. Recent attempts to enhance returns by adding an expected rate of return filter have underperformed the original 4-factor method, highlighting the robustness of the core process.
The Schwab US Dividend Equity (SCHD) stock price staged a bullish breakout above a key resistance level as American equities accelerated. SCHD jumped to a high of $28.10, its highest level since November 2024.
I want a glorious 2026 for my portfolio, and I've put in thousands of hours of research in recent years to try to pinpoint some top stocks I want to own for the long-term.
The Schwab U.S. Dividend Equity ETF stands out for 2026, offering high yield and robust dividend growth potential as rates decline. I expect SCHD to rebalance, reducing financials and energy exposure and increasing weight in value-oriented sectors like telecom, utilities, and healthcare. Falling interest rates should widen the yield gap, driving capital flows into yield-focused ETFs like SCHD and enhancing their investment appeal.
Schwab U.S. Dividend Equity ETF (SCHD) is reaffirmed as a 'sell' due to persistent underperformance versus major indices. SCHD's 3.79% yield and portfolio concentration in large, stable dividend payers have not translated into competitive total returns. Since September 2023, SCHD's 21% total return has lagged the S&P 500 (54.56%) and NASDAQ (67.71%), highlighting structural underperformance.
The Schwab U.S. Dividend Equity ETF remains a Buy, offering defensive positioning amid high S&P 500 valuations and potential growth-to-value rotation in 2026. SCHD's 20% energy sector exposure, including Chevron and ConocoPhillips, is supported by robust earnings and sector undervaluation despite weak oil prices. Healthcare holdings (>16% of SCHD), such as BMY, MRK, and ABBV, are regaining momentum with strong free cash flow and resilient capital allocation.
Dividend investing is an important part of a long-term strategy for income investors. The SPDR Portfolio S&P 500 High Dividend ETF offers investors exposure to sectors ranging from real estate to financials.
Schwab U.S. Dividend Equity ETF's dividend growth has been rather disappointing lately. Recent reconstitutions have purged SCHD of outperformers and increased exposure to underperforming sectors. Is this just a temporary issue, or should you sell before fundamentals deteriorate even further?
SCHD is one of the most popular dividend funds in the world. It does not have a particularly high yield, but it does have many quality dividend growers in its portfolio. It also trades at relatively low multiples. The broader markets, on the other hand, are very pricey.