Since the "tariff" lows of April 2025 (approx. $9.30), SVIX has rallied over +122%. The VIX index is currently trading in the 13.5–15.0 range, which has acted as a hard floor for the past five years. With volatility at the bottom of its historical range, there is significant "asymmetric risk": the potential for a VIX spike is far greater than the potential for further compression.
SVIX delivered over +35% total return since April 2025, driven by a decline in volatility and the VIX futures curve shifting to contango, as predicted. The VIX is at 16, with front-month futures at 18.6 in a contango curve, but low tech stock volatility and a near-bottom VIX range suggest market complacency. SVIX is not a buy-and-hold ETF, with a -33% YTD loss in 2025, best used for short-term trades due to its sensitivity to volatility spikes.
-1x Short VIX Futures ETF's inverse volatility strategy seemed like a sure winner due to persistent contango in VIX futures, but real-world performance has disappointed. The fund's theoretical edge—profiting from the steep contango—has been undermined by rare but severe volatility spikes and unfavorable roll dynamics during market selloffs. SVIX is highly risky: a volatility spike can wipe out all gains, and the asymmetric risk profile means losses can be swift and total.
| Name | Quantity | Cost | Value | Profit ($) | Gain (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TCL Therese C.D. Linden Bank of New Hampshire | 3,018 | $47,412.78 | $66,577.08 | $19,164.3 | 40.42% |
| BATS Exchange | US Country |
The company in question is focused on offering financial products that allow investors to gain exposure to market volatility. It specializes in the creation and management of a specific index that aims at tracking the inverse daily performance of a portfolio consisting of first and second month VIX futures contracts. This unique approach involves a daily rebalancing of the portfolio to maintain a constant time to maturity for the futures contracts it holds. The value of the index is calculated daily based on the average price of these futures contracts during the final 15 minutes of trading, ensuring that the index reflects the most up-to-date market conditions.
This product is designed for investors looking to hedge against, or speculate on, changes in market volatility. By tracking the inverse performance of a portfolio of VIX futures contracts, this index provides a tool for investors who believe that market volatility will decrease. The index rebalances its portfolio daily, maintaining a fixed time to maturity for the contracts it encompasses, and is recalculated at the end of each trading day to reflect recent market movements.