TUG's active, risk-on/risk-off strategy aims for risk-adjusted growth but has underperformed in both bull and bear markets so far. The ETF's current portfolio is heavily concentrated in equities, mirroring the NDX, and lacks meaningful Treasury allocation despite market signals. Performance data shows TUG fails to effectively manage drawdowns or outperform major indices, undermining its core investment thesis.
STF Tactical Growth ETF allocates assets across Nasdaq 100 stocks, treasuries, and cash based on a market-timing model. The strategy looks better than random, as it beats several tactical multi-asset funds and shows a lower volatility than the Nasdaq 100. However, STF Tactical Growth ETF was unable to anticipate this summer's 14% drawdown in the Nasdaq 100.