Vistra is rated 'Buy' for its strong positioning to benefit from AI-driven power demand, particularly via nuclear and gas bridge power capabilities. VST's diverse portfolio—second-largest U.S. nuclear fleet and significant gas assets—enables both contracted stability and rapid deployment for data center needs. The company trades at an attractive EV/EBITDA of 9.65 and EV/MW of 1.5x, with the market undervaluing its nuclear and bridge power potential versus peers.
Everyone's talking about Vistra (NYSE:VST | VST Price Prediction) right now because retail investors have decided the merchant power producer is the cleanest way to bet on AI data center electricity demand.
Nuclear energy stands at the cusp of the global push for a low-carbon, greener, and more resilient energy future.
Vistra (VST) has received quite a bit of attention from Zacks.com users lately. Therefore, it is wise to be aware of the facts that can impact the stock's prospects.
Since I last checked on power producer Vistra in December 2025, its price has expectedly underwhelmed. But given the developments since, I believe the markets are underpricing the promising stock. Its power purchase agreements with Amazon and Meta for the provision of nuclear energy alone imply the possible growth potential, not to mention the possibility of a premium on market valuations. The company's expansion of gas assets with the purchase of Cogentrix Energy, after it bought Lotus Infrastructure Partners' gas assets last year, also works in its favor.
VST beats Q1 EPS and revenue estimates as capacity prices jump; hedging nearly all 2026 volumes lifts visibility.
I am rating Vistra a Strong Buy because AI is turning electricity into a scarce asset and Vistra owns the kind of dispatchable power portfolio that data centers need. The key growth drivers are AI-driven data center demand, PJM nuclear scarcity, ERCOT load growth and Cogentrix gas acquisition. These drivers should lift EBITDA by $500Mn. My Price Target is $220 and is based on using a 12x EV/EBITDA multiple and $8.1Bn of 2027 EBITDA. This represents a 48% potential upside.
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The headline numbers for Vistra (VST) give insight into how the company performed in the quarter ended March 2026, but it may be worthwhile to compare some of its key metrics to Wall Street estimates and the year-ago actuals.
Vistra Corp. (VST) came out with quarterly earnings of $2.87 per share, beating the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $2.21 per share. This compares to earnings of $0.46 per share a year ago.
Vistra Corp. delivered a strong Q1 double beat, reaffirming robust FY2026 guidance and maintaining a buy rating despite recent underperformance versus the S&P 500. VST's growth profile is compelling, with 2024 EPS expected to surge over 80% and a normalized PEG ratio at just 0.41, supporting an attractive valuation. Strategic moves, including the Cogentrix acquisition and major tech PPAs, are set to drive nearly 50% of EBITDA from retail and contracted sources.
Vistra Corp swung to a quarterly profit on Thursday, driven by rising power demand and prices, sending its shares up 4.2% in premarket trading.