Wingstop: Time To Feast Again (Rating Upgrade)
I am upgrading Wingstop stock to a "buy" with a $396 price target, representing a 70% upside potential after the stock has retracted from its highs from revenue deceleration. Despite tougher comps, the management is confident in achieving $3M AUV and expanding to 10,000 locations globally as it invests in digital transformation, brand awareness, and menu innovation. Meanwhile, the company has seen its digital sales grow to 70% of system-wide sales, as they drive personalized offers to drive higher volume and purchase frequency.
Wingstop: With Sharp Deceleration In Same-Store Sales, A Correction Is Beginning
Shares of Wingstop slid ~15% after reporting a rare Q4 earnings miss. Same-store sales growth decelerated sharply to 10% y/y (from 21% in the previous quarter), and is expected to decline to the low/mid-single digits in FY25. Macro conditions and price increases risk alienating customers, while secular trends towards healthier eating challenge Wingstop's market position.
Why Wingstop Stock Plummeted This Week
Shares of quickly growing chicken wing franchisor Wingstop (WING -6.77%) were down by 19% as of 1:50 p.m. ET Thursday, according to data provided by S&P Global Market Intelligence.
Wingstop Inc. (WING) Q4 2024 Earnings Call Transcript
Wingstop Inc. (NASDAQ:WING ) Q4 2024 Earnings Conference Call February 19, 2025 10:00 AM ET Corporate Participants Kristen Thomas - Senior Manager of Investor Relations Michael Skipworth - President and Chief Executive Officer Alex Kaleida - Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer Conference Call Participants David Tarantino - Baird Andrew Charles - TD Cowen Jeffrey Bernstein - Barclays Jim Salera - Stephens, Inc. Sara Senatore - Bank of America Brian Harbour - Morgan Stanley Chris O'Cull - Stifel Danilo Gargiulo - Bernstein Jeff Farmer - Gordon Haskett Christine Cho - Goldman Sachs Gregory Francfort - Guggenheim Operator Good morning, ladies and gentlemen, and thank you for standing by. Welcome to the Wingstop Fiscal Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2024 Earnings Conference Call.
Why Wingstop Stock Plunged to a 52-Week Low Today
Since it went public in 2015, Wingstop (WING -13.29%) has been one of the greatest restaurant stock investments. This means it trades at 52-week highs more often than 52-week lows.
Compared to Estimates, Wingstop (WING) Q4 Earnings: A Look at Key Metrics
While the top- and bottom-line numbers for Wingstop (WING) give a sense of how the business performed in the quarter ended December 2024, it could be worth looking at how some of its key metrics compare to Wall Street estimates and year-ago values.
Wingstop (WING) Q4 Earnings Top Estimates
Wingstop (WING) came out with quarterly earnings of $0.88 per share, beating the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.86 per share. This compares to earnings of $0.64 per share a year ago.
Wingstop Surpasses EPS, Revenue Lags
Wingstop (WING 0.44%), the popular chicken wings chain, recently published its Q4 2024 earnings on February 19, 2025. The company announced a diluted EPS of $0.92, surpassing the analyst forecast of $0.86, by delivering a growth rate of 43.8% year-over-year.
Wingstop's stock slides 7% as higher chicken costs lead to revenue shortfall
The revenue miss — driven by higher costs of food, beverage, packaging and bone-in chicken wings — offset a profit beat.
Wingstop Gears Up to Report Q4 Earnings: Things to Keep in Mind
WING's fiscal fourth-quarter performance is likely to have benefited from new restaurant openings, menu innovation and a strong digital business.
Wingstop Q4 Preview: Looming Weaknesses Outweigh Growth Potential (Downgrade)
Wingstop Inc.'s Q4 performance should show rapid revenue growth as the company's franchise continues to grow. Negatively, industry-wide sales suggest a slowdown in December, and lower consumer confidence in early 2025 could lead to a weaker outlook ahead. Rising food costs add to Wingstop's negative catalysts. With concerns over Wingstop's performance, especially with margins, I believe that WING stock provides a weak risk-to-reward. I estimate -17% downside to a fair value of $251.9.
Seeking Clues to Wingstop (WING) Q4 Earnings? A Peek Into Wall Street Projections for Key Metrics
Get a deeper insight into the potential performance of Wingstop (WING) for the quarter ended December 2024 by going beyond Wall Street's top -and-bottom-line estimates and examining the estimates for some of its key metrics.
