Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD corrects below $4,500 as Yields recover some losses
The Gold price pares gains after testing its strongest level since June as hawkish Federal Reserve minutes checked the rally sparked by lower Treasury yields. Gold prices retreated on Thursday after coming within around $20 of June's high, with traders taking profits following the previous session's surge.
Gold (XAU/US) has been on a tear to the upside since the start of August 2026. The precious yellow metal has staged a 10% rally from the potential major swing low of $3,942, printed on 30 June 2026, to Tuesday, 18 August 2026's closing level of $4,335.
XAUUSD pushing higher Gold (XAUUSD) had a day to remember after jumping over $100 in value. The yellow metal has secured a foothold around the psychological level of 4500, and a tentative break here would suggest further buying pressure.
Gold (XAU/USD) has staged a major bullish breakout, surging 4.35% on 19 August for its largest one-day gain since February 2026. The rally reflects growing US dollar debasement and fiscal-dominance concerns following larger US Treasury bond buybacks.
The short‑term Elliott Wave view in Gold (XAUUSD) indicates that the rally from the June 30 low is unfolding as an impulsive structure. From that level, wave (1) advanced and ended at $4203.21, followed by a corrective pullback in wave (2) that concluded at $3959.37.
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