Apartment Investment and Management Company (AIV)
The State Of REITs: March 2026 Edition
After a solid January performance, the REIT sector recovery gained steam in February with a stronger +3.70% return. Large cap REITs (+5.80%) led the REIT sector in February with strong gains from mid caps (+5.26%) and small caps (+4.94%). Micro caps (-6.12%) badly underperformed again in February. 71.71% of REIT securities had a positive total return in February.
These REITs Look Great As Fed Starts Cutting Cycle
Fed rate cuts are likely to push capital out of money market funds, benefiting high-yield equities, preferreds, and long-duration bonds. Gladstone Commercial (GOOD) stands to gain significant FFO accretion from lower interest expense as its variable-rate debt benefits from Fed cuts. High-leverage REITs like NexPoint Residential (NXRT) are positioned for AFFO growth as lower rates eventually reduce their financing costs.
My Biggest Wins Of 2024
2024 was a volatile year. We suffered some losses, but we had more, far more winners. I present my biggest wins of 2024 and the lessons I learned from them.
REITs Say 'Good Riddance' To 2024
U.S. equity markets sputtered in a choppy final week of 2024 as investors returned from the holidays with trepidation following the best two-year run for the S&P 500 since 1997-1998. The S&P 500 finished lower by 0.5% on the week, requiring a late-week rebound to pare steep declines following a historically ugly stretch of losses in the Christmas-to-New-Year period. Treasury yields posted a weekly decline for the first time in a month, pressured by a relatively weak slate of economic data, including soft PMI employment metrics and mortgage demand.
Apartment Fundamental Outlook Improved As Supply Wanes
Apartment REITs have beaten 1Q24 earnings despite a massive new supply wave hitting the sector in 2024 and early 2025. Demand drivers such as strong employment, low savings rate, high cost of houses, and high cost of construction have kept occupancy high despite the supply. Supply growth is dropping in mid-to-late 2025, making investments in the apartment sector appealing for long-term growth potential.
