I am downgrading my rating on Amazon.com, Inc., heading into the Q4 print, as any deceleration in AWS growth could spark a Microsoft-like re-rate. The Street whisper for AWS revenue is $34.9B. AMZN doesn't guide AWS, so a print below that, or growth under 20.2% YOY, may lead to a selloff. AMZN ads is the other growth engine (23.5% in Q3). I'm mainly focused on Prime Video streaming-ad momentum, including 315M ad-supported viewers and the Netflix inventory deal via Amazon DSP.
AMZN heads into Q4 earnings with $206-$213B sales guidance, double-digit growth, and momentum from AWS, advertising, and AI-driven retail.
Amazon.com, Inc. is redefining its AI infrastructure strategy with Trainium, a custom chip now driving multibillion-dollar business and 150% quarterly growth. Trainium's price/performance edge and vertical integration are compressing AWS margins short-term but set the stage for long-term margin expansion and competitive moats. DCF analysis indicates a fair value of $308.06, projecting 28.7% upside, with robust revenue and margin growth assumptions underpinned by AI-driven operating leverage.
Amazon increased the number of items it delivered to Prime members in the United States the same or next day by 30% in 2025. The company delivered over 8 billion items the same or next day in the U.S., it said in a Tuesday (Feb. 3) press release.
After a sluggish 2025, Amazon (NASDAQ: AMZN) enters 2026 with renewed interest from Wall Street. Shares gained roughly 5% last year, significantly trailing the S&P 500's 16% advance.
After a sluggish 2025, Amazon (NASDAQ: AMZN) enters 2026 with renewed interest from Wall Street. Shares gained roughly 5% last year, significantly trailing the S&P 500's 16% advance.
Long delays to get power grid connections are challenging Amazon's plans to expand data centers in Europe, the company told Reuters, as industries ramp up pressure on policymakers to upgrade ageing energy grids.
Amazon.com, Inc. is consolidating near $230-$240 and presents a potential rebound opportunity ahead of Q4 '25 earnings, in my opinion. AMZN stock trades at a discount to Mag 7 peers, with a forward PEG of 1.9x and 15.7x forward EV/EBITDA, despite margin and efficiency progress. Steady AWS growth and disciplined spending are key to improving sentiment, especially as expectations remain tamed.
The fizzled tie-up is a setback for Amazon's efforts to gain a bigger foothold in high-end sales.
Besides Wall Street's top-and-bottom-line estimates for Amazon (AMZN), review projections for some of its key metrics to gain a deeper understanding of how the company might have fared during the quarter ended December 2025.
Amazon.com, Inc. is downgraded to Hold as AI CAPEX concerns and weak sentiment may pressure shares post-earnings. AMZN Q4 earnings are expected to surpass $200B in sales, but EPS growth lags at just 4.5% YoY amid heavy R&D and CAPEX. AMZN stock valuation multiples like EV/Sales and Price/Sales are elevated, with forward Price/FCF near historical averages, tempering the undervaluation thesis.
When Amazon reports their Q4 '25 this coming Thursday night, analyst consensus is expecting $211.3 billion in revenue to generate $1.97 in EPS for y-o-y growth of 13% and 6%. If the consensus estimates are met on Thursday night, Amazon will have grown EPS and revenue in full-year '25 by 29% and 12% respectively, with the stock trading at 34x the EPS multiple and 20x cash flow multiple. EPS of $8.00 expected in 2026 is just 12% growth this calendar year, on 11% expected revenue growth. Analysts still seem a little wary of raising calendar 2026 numbers.