APLD is ramping up AI data center expansion with billions in new financing, as much of its contracted capacity has yet to generate recurring revenues.
At $45.20, Applied Digital (NASDAQ:APLD) looks fully valued.
Applied Digital Chairman and CEO Wes Cummins delivered a message on CNBC's Squawk on the Street about the AI data center buildout.
Applied Digital's contracted revenue is concentrated among a few hyperscalers, raising concerns that future growth may hinge on a narrow customer base.
Applied Digital's AI-fueled surge masks growing concerns over customer concentration, rising debt and an uncertain path to profitability.
Applied Digital Corporation secured a 210 MW, $5.2B, 15-year lease at Delta Forge 2, expanding its contracted revenue backlog to $36B across five campuses. APLD's franchise model enables scalable, repeatable growth, with 1.4 GW of critical IT load now pre-sold under long-term, take-or-pay leases to investment-grade hyperscalers. A $1.59B senior secured notes offering funds construction and repays bridge debt, aligning capital with already contracted demand and de-risking capex.
APLD's power strategy centers on securing utility-connected capacity and expanding grid resources to support rising AI infrastructure demand.
Applied Digital remains a compelling AI infrastructure investment, driven by a surging revenue backlog and hyperscaler demand. APLD's new 15-year deal with a leading U.S. hyperscaler adds $7.5B to its backlog, now totaling $31B. I see further upside in APLD's valuation, as ongoing AI Data Center buildouts could add billions more to its contracted revenues.
Applied Digital bets on direct-to-chip cooling to attract hyperscalers as AI rack densities strain traditional air-cooled systems.
Applied Digital's AI hosting expansion and Microsoft Azure's hyperscale AI buildout reflect rising demand for large-scale compute infrastructure.
Core Scientific (CORZ) offers a more attractive risk/reward profile than Applied Digital (APLD) due to its larger, immediately leasable power capacity and faster delivery schedule. CORZ is set to deliver 590 MW to CoreWeave over 12 months, with 243 MW already being billed and the remainder expected ahead of APLD's timeline. APLD's near-term upside is limited, with most capacity set for delivery further out, while trading at a premium 23x FY27 sales versus CORZ's 14x CY26 sales.
Applied Digital trades at a premium, but expanding AI data center capacity and $23B in contracted lease revenues keep growth expectations elevated.