The heavy selling pressure might have exhausted for Braskem (BAK) as it is technically in oversold territory now. In addition to this technical measure, strong agreement among Wall Street analysts in revising earnings estimates higher indicates that the stock is ripe for a trend reversal.
The most oversold stocks in the materials sector presents an opportunity to buy into undervalued companies.
Braskem's stock has plummeted, but recent improvements in operating results and positive earnings call discussions suggest a potential turnaround. The Brazilian Real's depreciation has hurt Braskem, but a reversal could boost local asset values, aiding the company's recovery. Protectionist tariffs implemented in Brazil to protect the industry, expanding import tariffs on similar goods from 12%~ to 20%~, will serve to further increase performance and resilience.
Brazil's government and several of its largest commercial banks are working on a plan to speed the divestment of engineering group Novonor's majority stake in Braskem , Latin America's largest petrochemical company, according to six people familiar with the talks.
Braskem S.A. (NYSE:BAK ) Q3 2024 Earnings Conference Call November 7, 2024 9:00 AM ET Company Participants Rosana Avolio - IR, Strategic Planning & Corporate Market Intelligence Director Roberto Bischoff - CEO Pedro Freitas - CFO Conference Call Participants Rodrigo Almeida - Santander Vicente Falanga - Bradesco BBI Tasso Vasconcellos - UBS Gabriel Barra - Citi Pedro Soares - BTG Pactual Leonardo Marcondes - Bank of America Regis Cardoso - XP, Inc. Operator Good morning and thank you for waiting.
I recommend buying Braskem shares post-2Q24 results, which showed operational improvement despite missing market expectations and ongoing financial challenges. BAK's revenue remained stable at $3.65 billion, with excellent cost control leading to a 9% recurring EBITDA margin. Valuation is attractive with a potential 33.8% appreciation, trading at 6.5x EV/EBITDA against an industry average of 8.7x.
The average of price targets set by Wall Street analysts indicates a potential upside of 46.2% in Braskem (BAK). While the effectiveness of this highly sought-after metric is questionable, the positive trend in earnings estimate revisions might translate into an upside in the stock.
Braskem's controlling holding, Novonor, is looking for a buyer for its stake in the company. The proposals to purchase this stake exceed the company's current market cap by two times. For this reason, I believe that the dangerous risks, such as the sinking of Maceió, are already in the price, bringing a good opportunity.
A Brazilian congressional committee on Tuesday suggested charging petrochemical producer Braskem with crimes against the environment and public properties over the sinking soil of a city that forced thousands of families to relocate.