CCAP experienced a stock price drop of over 10% due to uncertainty about its income potential and value proposition. CCAP's portfolio is 90% first-lien debt, with 85% in non-cyclical industries, ensuring priority in capital collection and defensive positioning. Diversification is key: top 10 investments hold only 15% of the portfolio, with an average position of 0.5% and low non-accruals.
Crescent Capital BDC, Inc. offers a 10.6% dividend yield and trades at an 11% discount to book value, making it a compelling income investment. CCAP's portfolio is conservatively managed with 90% senior secured loans and strong private equity sponsorship, with low non-accruals. Despite lower base rates, CCAP maintains solid returns, supported by a healthy balance sheet and stable NAV/share, with management expecting increased deal activity.
PennantPark Floating Rate Capital, PFLT, is a completely different BDC than its related arm PNNT. In my last piece that was issued in August 2024, I made it clear that the dividend is safe, even though the conclusion might be different seeing 103% coverage level. The recent financials confirm my thesis on many fronts.
BDCs are meant to provide high-dividends, while preserving NAV. However, given the signs both in the stock market and in the real economy on the ground, BDC investors have to be extra careful. Currently, BDCs face several headwinds, which increase the risk of dividend cuts and price declines, especially within the more speculative and high-multiple segments.
We take a look at the action in business development companies through the second week of March and highlight some of the key themes we are watching. BDCs enjoyed a sharp rally late in the week, but still ended down 2.5%. FSK and MFIC once again delivered below-average results, trading at decent discounts but not enough to justify allocation.
The current market environment suggests a potential recession, leading investors to favor durable and income-producing assets. BDCs and REITs are likely to be among the key beneficiaries here. However, with REITs and especially BDCs investors have to be careful in order to avoid falling in a value trap.
Goldman Sachs BDC cut its base dividend by 29% due to high non-accruals and decreased net investment income, impacting income-dependent investors. Despite the dividend cut, GSBD remains attractive due to its discount to NAV and potential for performance improvement. GSBD's portfolio is highly collateralized with 97% First Lien investments, but higher non-accruals pose risks to net asset value and income.
CHICAGO ATL BDC (LIEN) saw its shares surge in the last session with trading volume being higher than average. The latest trend in earnings estimate revisions may not translate into further price increase in the near term.
The recent events in the market have made risk mitigation a relevant topic once again. This is especially important for investors, who want to maximize yield, while keeping the risks balanced (and income cut distant). In this article I have shared two picks, which offer close to 9% yields and the necessary fundamentals to deliver non-cyclical (de-risked) distributions.
We take a look at the action in business development companies through the first week of March and highlight some of the key themes we are watching. BDCs had a tough week despite a strong finish on the back of increased market volatility and worsening risk sentiment. Horizon Tech Finance delivered a negative 3.5% total NAV return in Q4, continuing its trend of underperformance, yet it trades at a premium.
Kayne Anderson BDC, despite a short track record, shows strong fundamentals with high first-lien loan exposure and diversified borrower portfolio, making it a defensive investment. Latest earnings report shows a slight decline in net investment income and top line, but dividend coverage remains strong at 120%, outperforming peers. Economic uncertainty and lower base rates limit upside potential for BDCs, prompting a hold rating for Kayne Anderson BDC and others in the sector.
Part 1 of this article compares GBDC's recent quarterly change in NAV, quarterly and trailing 12-month economic return, NII, and current valuation to 11 BDC peers. Part 1 also performs a comparative analysis between each company's investment portfolio as of 9/30/2024 and 12/31/2024. This includes an updated percentage of investments on non-accrual status. I also provide a list of the other BDC stocks I currently believe are undervalued (a buy recommendation), overvalued (a sell recommendation), and appropriately valued (a hold recommendation).