We take a look at the action in business development companies through the last week of October and highlight some of the key themes we are watching. BDCs were flat on the week, outperforming all other credit sectors. We highlight key NII drivers, which include credit spreads, leverage, interest expense, portfolio allocation, and non-accruals, with spreads currently pressuring NII lower.
The market did not react well when TRIN issued its Q3 report. In my view, the reasons for the correction confirm yet again that the market is extremely short-term oriented. In reality, TRIN's performance was strong across the board, sending the exact messages that long-term and durable yield investors want to hear.
Ares Capital (ARCC) delivered a strong Q3 with a 3% total NAV return, maintaining a 9.3% dividend yield and stable portfolio quality. ARCC's dividend coverage remains robust at 104%, but headwinds from rising interest expense and tight credit spreads may pressure net investment income. Management is confident in maintaining the dividend, citing multiple levers like increased leverage, higher-yielding opportunities, and spillover income for support.
Ares Capital offers a 9.3% dividend yield, fully covered by net investment income, despite recent share price declines. The recent dip in ARCC shares has been driven by sector-wide fears of a dividend cut and credit events from unrelated companies. ARCC reported healthy third-quarter results, with total investment income beating consensus and net asset value growing by 12 cents versus its year-ago comp.
Belden Inc. ( BDC ) Q3 2025 Earnings Call October 30, 2025 8:30 AM EDT Company Participants Aaron Reddington - Vice President of Investor Relations Ashish Chand - President, CEO & Director Jeremy Parks - Senior VP of Finance & CFO Conference Call Participants Steven Fox - Fox Advisors LLC William Stein - Truist Securities, Inc., Research Division Mark Delaney - Goldman Sachs Group, Inc., Research Division David Williams - The Benchmark Company, LLC, Research Division Christopher Dankert - Loop Capital Markets LLC, Research Division Presentation Operator Ladies and gentlemen, thank you for standing by. Welcome to this morning's Belden reports third quarter 2025 results call.
Belden (BDC) came out with quarterly earnings of $1.97 per share, beating the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.9 per share. This compares to earnings of $1.7 per share a year ago.
Sumitomo Mitsui Trust Group Inc. raised its position in Golub Capital BDC, Inc. (NASDAQ: GBDC) by 17.2% during the undefined quarter, according to its most recent filing with the SEC. The firm owned 1,080,551 shares of the investment management company's stock after buying an additional 158,218 shares during the quarter. Sumitomo Mitsui Trust
Goldman Sachs BDC faces shrinking earnings and persistent NAV declines, prompting a downgrade to a hold rating. GSBD maintains a high 14% dividend yield with consistent payouts, but dividend coverage is becoming thinner as earnings decline. The portfolio is defensively structured with 90% in first lien loans, but growth prospects are limited due to weak new investment activity.
Goldman Sachs BDC trades at a 24.6% discount to NAV, near its lowest point in five years. GSBD's 5- and 10-year total returns on NAV are 9.54% and 7.68%, with an average ROE of 7.72%. Even with higher loss assumptions, GSBD's expected return is attractive, offering around 10.95% at current discounts.
Golub Capital BDC (GBDC) is downgraded to a hold due to thin dividend coverage and a downward trending NAV per share. GBDC offers a high 12% dividend yield, but future payouts are at risk if net investment income declines further, especially with more rate cuts. The portfolio remains strong with first lien debt and improving non-accruals, but rising PIK income and higher leverage raise caution.
We take a look at the action in business development companies through the first week of September and highlight some of the key themes we are watching. BDCs were mostly down on the week as valuations remain attractive in aggregate. Gladstone Capital Corp. issued a high-coupon convertible bond, reflecting limited growth prospects.
Blue Owl Capital Corporation remains a hold, offering an attractive 11.7% dividend yield but facing declining NAV and modest earnings growth. OBDC's portfolio is well-diversified, with 98% floating rate loans and a strong focus on first lien senior secured debt, supporting resilience in a high-rate environment. Despite a discount to NAV and healthy dividend coverage, OBDC's net investment activity is negative and asset base is shrinking, limiting near-term upside.