Oil prices surged on Monday as the unfolding conflict in the Middle East intensified. As markets monitor potential supply disruptions Energy Aspects' Amrita Sen expects prices to hold at $80 a barrel.
Crude prices surged after massive U.S.-Israel attacks against Iran raised fears of a wider regional war and prolonged disruption to energy flows through the Strait of Hormuz.
Strait of Hormuz tensions put 20% of global oil at risk as Brent eyes $80. Discover how geopolitical friction and OPEC+ hikes are reshaping the energy forecast.
Oil prices surged late Sunday with Brent crude briefly hitting $82.37, amid growing fears of Middle East supply disruptions as the Iran conflict escalates.
Analysts expect oil prices to remain elevated over the coming days with conflict escalating in the Middle East, as they assess the impact to supplies, especially flows through the Strait of Hormuz, a conduit for more than 20% of global oil.
Oil jumped in the early morning Asian session as military strikes by the U.S. and Israel against Iran heighten supply disruption concerns.
Crude-oil markets won't officially open for a few more hours, but traders are already using prediction markets like Kalshi to take bets on where prices will settle on Monday.
Tanker traffic through the Strait of Hormuz has effectively come to a stop as shipping companies take precautionary measures, analysts said. About a third of the world's seaborne oil exports passed through the Strait in 2025.
Markets were expected to react to the outbreak of conflict in Iran this weekend.
Bloomberg Intelligence's Mike McGlone explains what the US and Israeli strikes on Iran mean for oil and commodities prices. He speaks on "Bloomberg This Weekend.
Oil futures will begin trading later on Sunday. Saudi Aramco shares were climbing as trading resumed in Saudi Arabia, possibly hinting that crude is headed for a surge.
Analysts warn that a prolonged Strait of Hormuz disruption could push oil prices into triple digits. Markets are likely to price in an immediate-risk premium, analysts say.