Credo Technology Group (CRDO) has an impressive earnings surprise history and currently possesses the right combination of the two key ingredients for a likely beat in its next quarterly report.
I reiterate my buy on Credo Technology Group after the company upgraded FQ3'26 revenue guidance to $404–$408M vs. $335–$345M previously. AEC shipments powered over 95% of last quarter's product sales yoy increase. In my view, that's the near-term growth engine, with Weaver (H2 2026) as upside optionality. The big overhang is optics, especially if hyperscalers shift toward optical networking by 2027 and the company fails to pivot quickly enough.
Credo Technology remains a Buy, with business momentum accelerating on robust AI data center demand and a diversified five-pillar connectivity platform. CRDO raised Q3 FY2026 revenue guidance, now projecting 200%+ Y/Y growth to $1.3B and FY2027 revenue near $2B, with net margins guided at 45%. Recent fears over Nvidia's ‘cableless' design are misplaced; CRDO's AECs remain essential for inter-rack connectivity, preserving its expanding TAM.
Credo Regains Control Of The Bullish Narrative While Its Valuation Reset (Upgrade)
Credo Technology Group is upgraded to Buy as revenue growth accelerates and margins improve, de-risking the investment case. CRDO's forward EV/revenue multiple has cooled from ~22x to ~16.5x, with FY2027 estimates implying a more attractive ~11x, supporting fresh long positions. Recent preliminary Q3 FY2026 results show a 50% sequential revenue jump, with guidance credibility strengthened by repeated upward revisions.
Credo Technology Group (CRDO) saw its shares surge in the last session with trading volume being higher than average. The latest trend in earnings estimate revisions may not translate into further price increase in the near term.
Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd (NASDAQ:CRDO) doesn't report earnings until March, but the chip stock is already enjoying tailwinds from the company's preliminary third-quarter revenue beat and raised forecast.
Credo stuns with Q3 FY26 preliminary revenue of $404-$408M, crushing guidance and highlighting surging demand from hyperscale and AI networking.
Credo's stock pulled back due to expectation reset, as hyperscaler ramp non-linearity triggered multiple compression, not earnings deterioration. AECs are transitioning from displacement technology toward architectural defaults in scale-up, row-scale, and rack-level AI designs. Forward revenue estimates imply EV/Sales compressing from ~17x to ~12x as revenue scales toward ~$1.7B by FY27.
Credo Technology has dropped ~26%, despite no fundamental deterioration, presenting a compelling GARP opportunity ahead of earnings. CRDO's Q3 revenue is guided at $340M, with ~65% gross margin; consensus expects $342.33M revenue and $0.78 EPS, implying 212% YoY EPS growth. CRDO's expanding product suite, new hyperscaler customers, and leadership in high-speed connectivity underpin a bullish outlook and potential for stock doubling.
CRDO's shares slid nearly 32% in a month, but strong AI networking demand, rising margins and a solid balance sheet argue for patience.
Credo shares have continued to drop. Down more than 50% from recent highs, I think current levels present an opportunity. Strong growth, margin expansion, and attractive valuation make me a buyer.