On this week's episode of ETF Prime, host Nate Geraci sat down with Roxanna Islam, head of sector & industry research at VettaFi. She offers insights on how the recent tariffs announcement could impact ETFs.
Chinese mega caps and American financials take the focus of today's Big 3. @Theotrade's Don Kaufman explains why he's bearish on the iShares China Large-Cap ETF (FXI) and Goldman Sachs (GS) while maintaining bullishness on the iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT).
CNBC's Seema Mody reports on news from the stock markets in China.
The Chinese stock market index fund, FXI, rose 59% YoY, driven by significant stimulus efforts and the launch of China's DeepSeek AI. FXI's performance is buoyed by its increased exposure to technology and consumer sectors, reducing its reliance on the struggling financial, industrial, and real estate sectors. Despite recent gains, I remain mildly bearish on FXI due to China's opaque financial system and the long-term risks of its debt-driven stimulus policies.
Goldman Sachs has raised its outlook for Chinese stocks, citing artificial intelligence (AI) as a key driver of earnings growth and market inflows. The investment bank now expects AI adoption to contribute significantly to corporate profits, potentially attracting as much as $200 billion in capital, Reuters reported.
Despite concerns surrounding China's economy, a confluence of factors suggest a compelling bullish case for Chinese equities. Resilient price action, contrarian sentiment, government stimulus, attractive valuations, and rapid AI advancements create immense growth potential.
FXI is a viable hedge against VTI due to its undervaluation and positive trend, contrasting with VTI's overvaluation. China's economic resilience, ongoing stimulus measures, and low valuations make FXI an attractive long-term investment despite current economic challenges. Tariffs on Chinese imports could harm the U.S. economy more, reinforcing the need for a diversified portfolio, including FXI.
Not only was the US a winner with its stock market in 2024, China was even more so. Despite this, the housing crisis is already showing signs of being more severe than the American housing crisis. And the government is looking for different ways to restimulate the economy. Although the valuation is extremely cheap, especially compared to India, the risk/return ratio does not seem attractive with a new trade war looming.
We have highlighted 10 ETFs that have seen higher average volumes over the past three months.
Chinese stocks recorded their first annual gain in 2024, following a challenging three-year decline.
Chinese stocks have rebounded in 2024, driven by a significant fiscal stimulus package, but long-term prospects remain uncertain due to economic stagnation risks. The iShares China Large-Cap ETF has seen a 26% rise over 2024, yet it carries high risk with 33% volatility and substantial short interest. China's economic challenges include deflation, high debt, and potential "Japanization," raising doubts about sustained growth despite recent positive government actions.
Carter Worth, Worth Charting, joins 'Fast Money' to look at the technicals in China and see if it's time to buy into the emerging market stocks.