SK hynix is the current HBM leader, with roughly 58% market share and strong exposure to Nvidia's AI platform roadmap. HBM remains supply-constrained, while hyperscaler capex is still being revised upward despite higher component pricing. New memory capacity should take years to meaningfully come online, supporting pricing, margins, and earnings through the current cycle.
TSMC and ASML both raised guidance, confirming AI infrastructure remains supply constrained, while Rubin's N3 node is fully booked and CoWoS capacity expands nearly 50%. Nvidia's Kyber delay concerns appear limited to Rubin Ultra, leaving mainstream Rubin NVL72 deployments and near-term revenue expectations largely unchanged. Qualification of Samsung, SK hynix and Micron for HBM4 reduces supply-chain risk as the industry shifts toward higher-capacity 16-Hi HBM4 memory.
In the closing of the recent trading day, HudBay Minerals (HBM) stood at $21.98, denoting a -2.31% move from the preceding trading day.
SKHY's successful US debut is powered by surging DRAM/HBM prices and aggressive hyperscaler capex trends, with it contributing to the outsized, multi-year top-line growth and margin expansion prospects. The FQ2'26 earnings call may also benefit from the retooling of some of the HBM3E capacity for DRAM production, given the latter's soaring prices/richer profit margins. Multi-year LTAs, robust cash flow, rich balance sheet, and successful US debut with $26.5B raised, support SKHY's aggressive capacity expansion cadence.
I'm initiating SK Hynix (SKHY) with a buy at current levels due to strong HBM leadership and robust AI-driven memory demand. SKHY's dominant HBM position, multi-year supply contracts, and advanced EUV investments underpin its earnings insulation from typical DRAM cyclicality. Despite recent share erosion to Samsung and Micron, the rapidly expanding AI memory market supports absolute volume growth and pricing power.
SK hynix Inc. is now listed in the U.S., and it's benefiting from a lot of pent-up excitement. SK hynix's HBM-heavy mix may mean it misses out on the non-HBM ASP surge driving industry margin expansion. If this plays out, then Q2 could bring trouble. SK hynix is shifting capacity toward general-purpose DRAM to capture higher margins, but this may be too late for Q2, as DRAM price increases are expected to decelerate in Q3.
Investors looking ahead to when the high-bandwidth memory (HBM) shortage will end can start looking a little further out. Micron's NASDAQ: MU response to SK Hynix's bold U.S. entry reveals that HBM shortages persist and will likely linger into the next decade (as indicated by the SK Hynix CEO), and that both companies are scrambling to ramp production.
SK hynix (SKHY) is initiated at Buy with a $300 ADR target, reflecting its dominant HBM market share and strategic AI ecosystem integration. SKHY controls ~56% of the global HBM market and maintains deep collaborations with NVIDIA and TSMC, reinforcing its competitive moat. HBM leadership is structurally more defensible than conventional DRAM, enabling SKHY to capture superior economics as AI memory demand surges.
SK Hynix debuted on Nasdaq, raising ~$26.6B and offering investors exposure to the AI-driven HBM memory boom. I am bullish on SK Hynix, citing its 58% HBM market share, dominant Nvidia relationship, and aggressive revenue and margin expansion. The company's Q1 ‘26 revenues surged 198% to $34.5B with gross margins expanding to 79.3%, reflecting robust demand and operational leverage.
SK hynix Inc. launches its U.S. ADS at $149, raising $26.5 billion, with strong institutional demand validating continued confidence in the durability of the AI memory supercycle. SK hynix is well positioned to benefit from a two-parter re-rate, driven by a narrowing valuation discount to Micron and additive fundamental upside as rising NAND demand compounds its HBM leadership. The SKHY ADS offering gives U.S. investors a rare second chance to participate in a de-risked AI memory compounded with comprehensive leadership across HBM, DRAM and NAND.
I'm upgrading Micron Technology from Sell to Hold after Q3 results reaffirmed HBM4 product leadership and robust execution. MU's Q3 revenue and EPS significantly beat guidance; HBM4 shipments for NVIDIA's Vera Rubin platform are ramping faster than HBM3E 12-high. Despite an improved outlook, I remain cautious due to cyclical risks, aggressive industry capacity expansion, and uncertain demand durability.
Micron Technology (MU) earns a Buy rating as HBM4 adoption and strategic customer agreements (SCAs) fundamentally enhance its economic moat and earnings stability. SCAs lock in ~40% of MU's revenues at fixed prices/price bands through 2028–2030, buffering cyclicality while HBM demand will drive gross margin expansion and premium pricing. HBM memory transitions MU from a commodity player to a specialized supplier, with HBM4 ramping twice as fast as HBM3E and already exceeding $1B in revenue.