Horizon Technology Finance (HRZN) came out with quarterly earnings of $0.32 per share, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.35 per share. This compares to earnings of $0.53 per share a year ago.
HRZN has underperformed the BDC market since my initial relatively bearish thesis back in December, 2023. After digesting Q2, 2024 earnings results, the case has gone from bad to worse. In this article I elaborate on the key reasons why I continue to remain pessimistic on HRZN and share my view on the potential dividend cut.
Horizon Technology Finance operates as a BDC with a dividend yield of about 12.1%, making it attractive for income investors. However, the distribution may be vulnerable. Net investment income is down on a year-over-year basis. Future interest rate cuts could further reduce NII per share. The price still trades at a high premium to NAV. I believe this premium is unjustified when looking at the portfolio's performance. A price reduction is needed.
Horizon Technology Finance (HRZN) came out with quarterly earnings of $0.36 per share, beating the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.34 per share. This compares to earnings of $0.54 per share a year ago.
Horizon Technology Finance has underperformed the BDC market by 15% since December, with worsening portfolio quality and yield compression. Q1, 2024 earnings report shows continued decline in net investment income, with NAV dropping and portfolio stagnating at lower yield levels. Despite sourcing fresh equity, HRZN's underlying portfolio profile has deteriorated, making it still a risky investment choice with uncertain fundamentals.
Horizon Technology Finance has a dividend yield of 11.4% and distributions are issued on a monthly basis, making this an attractive choice for income investors. The price has come since Q4 of 2023 due to the worsening credit quality of investment portfolio. This could be offset by investments made in Q1 of 2024. The price trades at a premium to NAV of nearly 20%, despite the price drop.