Last December, JPMorgan analysts identified Lumentum Holdings ( NASDAQ:LITE ) as a key beneficiary of the multi-year upcycle in the optics sector, fueled by explosive hyperscaler spending on AI infrastructure and the rapid adoption of 800G+ datacom technologies.
Shares in Lumentum Holdings and Coherent Corp rose 8% and 6.5% respectively in premarket trading after Nvidia Corp (NASDAQ:NVDA, XETRA:NVD) said it would invest $2 billion in each company to support research, development and manufacturing in the United States. Nvidia confirmed on Monday that the $4 billion combined investment will be directed towards photonic product development and expanded US production capacity at the two suppliers.
Lumentum Holdings is positioned as a critical supplier of advanced lasers for AI data center interconnects, powering Nvidia's next-gen networking platforms. The structural shift to high-performance optical connectivity, especially 200G per lane EMLs, drives higher margins and revenue growth for Lumentum. An accelerating OCS backlog, now exceeding $400M, is a new growth driver for Lumentum.
LITE's surging OCS backlog and rising CPO orders signal accelerating AI-driven growth, strengthening margins and its edge in optical networking.
Lumentum sees CPO shift to contracted backlog, eyeing late-2027 scale-up as AI optics demand drives record revenue outlook.
LITE shares have nearly doubled in a month as AI optics demand, OCS backlog and CPO orders fuel revenue growth and margin expansion.
LITE's AI-driven revenue surge and 1.6T ramp contrast with ASYS' falling sales and growth pushed to 2027.
Lumentum sees 1.6T demand surge ahead of plan, boosting margins as tight laser supply and 200G lane mix shift reshape its profit profile.
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Lumentum Holdings is positioned for outperformance, driven by surging demand for EML laser chips in scale-out data center networks. Lumentum's Q2 FY26 revenue soared 65.5% y/y to $665.5M, with Systems sales and OCS order backlog exceeding $400M, supporting robust near-term growth. The networking industry is seeing a weighted deployment of optical solutions in scale-out vs scale-up networks, supporting Lumentum's laser components over Coherent's laser chips.
Lumentum is a strong buy, positioned as a critical AI infrastructure provider with expanding margins and robust demand for high-speed optical solutions. LITE's growth is driven by hyperscaler demand, a favorable product mix, and operating leverage, with Q2 FY26 delivering both revenue and margin beats. Risks include high client concentration, manufacturing scaling challenges, and elevated market expectations; any execution miss could trigger a sharp downside.
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