MSFT beats Q4 estimates as Azure grows 43%, Copilot adoption surges, and AI infrastructure expansion fuels strong cloud and enterprise demand.
Microsoft's FQ4 showed that the AI CapEx story is beginning to look more like future operating leverage than endless margin pressure. Intelligent Cloud revenue moved closer to catching up with COGS growth, while CapEx productivity held up better than expected. Incremental gross margin remains the missing piece, meaning the full cloud margin inflection has not arrived yet.
Microsoft Corp (NASDAQ:MSFT) and Meta Platforms Inc (NASDAQ:META) are playing a game of tug of war with the Nasdaq today.
Artificial intelligence remains the biggest force shaping today's stock market, but investors are becoming more selective about where they're willing to place their bets.
Shares of Microsoft (NASDAQ:MSFT | MSFT Price Prediction) are up 9% in early Thursday trading, changing hands at $427 after the software giant delivered a fiscal fourth-quarter blowout and crossed a symbolic Azure milestone.
Microsoft delivered robust Q4 results on Wednesday, with Intelligent Cloud revenue surging 32% year-over-year and total revenue up 18% year-over-year. MSFT's aggressive AI CapEx ramp—up 110% to $35.8B in Q4—supports accelerating cloud and AI infrastructure growth. However, free cash flows are set to continue to compress. At a 17.3x P/E, MSFT trades well below cloud peers, offering ~$80B in annualized free cash flow and significant upside potential.
Along with producing a 9.82% extended-session stock upsurge from $390.54 to $428.91, Microsoft's (NASDAQ: MSFT) latest earnings report led to a veritable deluge of analyst rating and price target upgrades.
Microsoft and Meta reported their most recent earnings within minutes of each other on July 29 and got opposite reactions — Microsoft stock was up 9.8%, Meta's lost 10% – because only the Redmond software giant could name an external customer for its AI spending.
Yesterday, both Microsoft Corporation (Nasdaq: MSFT) and Meta Platforms, Inc. (Nasdaq: META) reported their most recent quarterly results. The companies are not only two of America's biggest tech giants but also among the most significant players in the AI space.
Microsoft (MSFT) Q2 demonstrated robust fundamentals with 18% TTM revenue growth and strong 26% UFCF margins, despite rising capex. MSFT's rapidly expanding order book (RPO +84% YoY, >2x TTM revenue) reduces risk of near-term revenue misses. We rate MSFT at Accumulate within the $386–430 range, with a technical price target of $470 and a stop-loss below $386.
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Microsoft is upgraded to Buy after Copilot monetization and Azure growth exceeded expectations, validating prior concerns about adoption. MSFT's Azure revenue accelerated to 43% growth, surpassing $100 billion annually, with management guiding to 45% growth next quarter. Copilot paid seats surged from 20 million to over 30 million in a single quarter, confirming enterprise adoption is moving to production scale.