I rate NCR Voyix as Hold due to ongoing revenue declines and significant risks to growth recovery, despite early transformation progress. VYX's shift to platform-based solutions and integrated payments is gaining traction, with strong customer retention and growing recurring revenue as positives. However, both core segments face revenue pressure, and macroeconomic risks—especially for SMB clients—could further hurt growth and bookings.
NCR Voyix Corporation's Q1 beat weak Wall Street expectations, but recurring revenue trends remain concerning regardless. The sharp decline in hardware sales isn't as concerning, as NCR Voyix's outsourcing deal with Ennoconn is nearing implementation. EBITDA has benefited from restructuring, but won't provide a platform for longer-term earnings growth as revenues continue to decline.
NCR Atleos Corporation's recent spin-off has positioned it for accelerated business growth, with significant revenue and net income growth expected post-2025 as spin-off costs diminish. The company's strategic acquisitions, including Cardtronics and LibertyX, are set to enhance its service offerings and financial flexibility, driving future revenue and FCF growth. Despite seasonal revenue fluctuations and high debt levels, NATL's positive cash flow and increased capacity indicate a strong potential for stock demand and price appreciation.
NCR Atleos' share price has grown significantly following its creation as a result of a split of NCR Corporation into two separate entities. The company's Q2-2024 earnings call highlighted growth in services revenue by 6% and ATM as a service revenue by over 30%, signaling strong future prospects in these particular segments. Despite some areas showing high revenue growth, overall revenue growth for H1-2024 versus H1-2023 is just over 5%, and adjusted margin growth is slightly negative.
An analyst reiterated his bullish view on the fintech's prospects. He was particularly taken by a major divestment that's about to occur.
Publicly traded companies are marked to market each and every day. And when quarterly results roll in, investors parse the data, the top line and the operating margins, and often measure success with each and every earnings report.
NCR Voyix reported its Q2 results, again showing weak hardware sales in the currently poorly performing Retail & Restaurants segments. The divestiture of the Digital Banking segment was announced as NCR Voyix needs to pay down high debt. The sale pushes away VYX's best-growing segment, leaving behind incredibly slow growth. The valuation seems excessive considering the weak future growth outlook after the divestiture, even with VYX's organizational restructuring that should reduce costs.
Payments processor NCR Voyix is exploring the sale of its digital banking business which it hopes will fetch as much as $3 billion, people familiar with the matter said.
On May 9, 2024, NCR Voyix Corporation (NYSE: VYX, $13.65, Market Capitalisation: $2.0 billion), a leading enterprise technology provider for retail stores, restaurants, and self-directed banking, reported solid 1Q24 results with a beat on revenue and Adj. EPS vs. consensus (for more details, refer spinoffresearch.com).