Blue Owl stock has staged a strong comeback in recent months, climbing from a low of $7.60 in April to around $11.85 currently. The rally could have further room to run after the stock formed a golden cross and a bullish flag pattern, while fading jitters across the AI sector could provide an additional tailwind.
Blue Owl Capital Corp remains a HOLD, offering an 11.0% yield with a recently reset, but barely covered, dividend. NAV per share has declined for eight consecutive quarters, with the aggregate mark falling below par and non-accruals at a two-year high. Leverage is at a two-year low, two-thirds of debt is unsecured, and $220 million in stock has been repurchased, reflecting a materially improved balance sheet.
Blue Owl Capital Corp. remains a 'Strong Buy' due to its resilient, diversified, and predominantly senior-secured $15 billion portfolio. OBDC's adjusted NII per share of $0.34 covers its 11% yield, with a 110% coverage ratio and $0.29 per share in spillover income. The portfolio's low nonaccrual rate, improving risk ratings, and conservative 1.11x leverage underpin its robust credit profile.
Blue Owl remains a Strong Buy, supported by robust growth, high margins, and an attractive 14x distributable earnings multiple. Fears over OWL's private credit exposure have proven overblown, with the credit portfolio showing just a 12 basis point average annual loss rate. OWL's diversified platform, $30B+ in dry powder, and high-margin fee streams underpin a compelling total return profile of 20%+ annually.
Blue Owl Capital Inc. remains a Strong Buy, with recent returns far surpassing the S&P 500 and further upside anticipated. Blue Owl Capital's fee-based asset management model, especially in data centers and real assets, drives stable growth and shields against investment vehicle volatility. Despite concerns over circular financing and AI exposure, Blue Owl Capital's real asset AUM surged to $89.4 billion, and distributable earnings rose 9.9% year-over-year.
Blue Owl remains a compelling deep value opportunity, with fundamentals improving and a strong rebound from prior market pessimism. OWL's real assets segment is driving growth, with 44% revenue growth over twelve months and expectations for continued outperformance. Distributable earnings are approaching full dividend coverage, with management guiding to beat consensus and cover the dividend by year-end.
Blue Owl Capital faces excessive short interest disconnected from improving fundamentals and record AUM growth. OWL's FPAUM and fee-related earnings are expanding, with dividend coverage expected to exceed 100% as $31.1 billion in AUM becomes fee-paying. Short interest is anchored in outdated credit-default fears, but OWL's durable capital base and lack of exposure to recent credit events reduce downside risk.
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Investors still should wait for confirmation that selling has truly exhausted itself and that buyers are beginning to take control.
Blue Owl Capital NYSE: OWL reported second-quarter 2026 fee-related earnings of $0.25 per share and distributable earnings of $0.22 per share, with distributable earnings rising 9% from the prior-year quarter. The alternative asset manager declared a quarterly dividend of $0.23 per share, payable Aug. 27 to shareholders of record on Aug. 13.
Blue Owl Capital???s shares rally 6.4% as Q2 earnings meet estimates, revenues climb 7% and AUM rise 12% on strong fundraising.
Blue Owl Capital Inc. (OWL) Q2 2026 Earnings Call Transcript