I initiate my coverage on Blue Owl Capital Inc. (OWL), with a strong buy rating, supported by record fundraising of $57B TTM, and significant exposure to AI digital infrastructure growth. Recently, Blue Owl led landmark hyperscaler financings, including $30B Meta Hyperion, $20B Oracle Stargate (NM), and $15B Oracle Abilene, within a >$100B pipeline. At ~15x forward earnings and a 6.4% dividend yield (cheaper than Blackstone, KKR, Ares, and Brookfield), I believe sentiment, not fundamentals, explains the 12-month underperformance.
Blue Owl Capital (OBDC) terminated its merger with Blue Owl Capital Corporation II, leading to a 20% discount to net asset value. OBDC's non-accruals rose modestly but remain manageable, with portfolio quality supported by a focus on senior secured loans. A $200 million share buyback at a deep discount and a well-covered dividend present a compelling high-yield income opportunity.
Blue Owl Capital has been heavily sold off due to market overreactions to private credit concerns, despite strong fundamentals. OWL reported a solid Q3'25 with minimal non-accruals and no exposure to troubled credits like Tricolor or First Brands. Management emphasized that recent negative headlines do not reflect the true strength of OWL's credit portfolio or the broader private credit market.
Blue Owl Capital Corporation faces persistent headwinds from private credit default concerns, earnings normalization, and potential dividend cuts, but remains fundamentally resilient. The merger with OBDC II has been terminated, helping to allay weak sentiments that have affected the stock's momentum in recent weeks. Despite a modest uptick in non-accruals and a likely dividend reduction, OBDC's 12.4% forward yield and 21% discount to NAV offer compelling value for income investors.
Blue Owl has decided to call off the merging of two of its private-credit funds after the deal caused some angst among investors, according to sources.
Blue Owl Capital Inc. ( OWL ) Citizens Financial Services Conference 2025 November 18, 2025 12:00 PM EST Company Participants Marc S. Lipschultz - Co-Founder, Co-CEO & Director Conference Call Participants Brian Mckenna - Citizens JMP Securities, LLC, Research Division Kipp deVeer Presentation Brian Mckenna Citizens JMP Securities, LLC, Research Division All right.
OBDC has dropped into a 20% discount territory. For bulls, it has created a very fruitful ground to initiate a chatter around a 'once-in-a-decade buying opportunity.' As a BDC sector bull, I have a different view.
Blue Owl Capital (NYSE: OWL) offers a highly scalable, asset-light business model, earning steady fees by managing capital for institutional investors without bearing credit risk directly. OWL's revenue is anchored by permanent or long-dated vehicles, providing annuity-like stability and predictable income streams with little impact from short-term market events. The firm's $251 billion AUM spans private credit, GP strategic capital, and real assets, with management fees driving over $1 billion in recurring annual revenue.
OBDC trades at a deep discount despite strong credit quality. Buy OBDC like it's 2020, near its low valuation. Management is growing assets and maintaining low non-accruals.
Blue Owl Capital Inc. blends stability with long-term growth, anchored in private credit and digital infrastructure, generating predictable and recurring cash flows. Strong Q3 2025 results with 18 consecutive quarters of fee growth, rising FRE, and solid dividend coverage supported by recurring management fees. $28 billion of non-fee-generating AUM set to activate over the next two years, driving meaningful upside to revenues, FRE, and dividend capacity.
Blue Owl Capital Corporation ( OBDC ) Q3 2025 Earnings Call November 6, 2025 10:00 AM EST Company Participants Michael Mosticchio - Head of Investor Relations Craig Packer - CEO & Director Logan Nicholson - Senior Managing Director Jonathan Lamm - CFO & COO Conference Call Participants Brian Mckenna - Citizens JMP Securities, LLC, Research Division Arren Cyganovich - Truist Securities, Inc., Research Division Robert Dodd - Raymond James & Associates, Inc., Research Division Finian O'Shea - Wells Fargo Securities, LLC, Research Division Casey Alexander - Compass Point Research & Trading, LLC, Research Division Mickey Schleien - Ladenburg Thalmann & Co. Inc., Research Division Kenneth Lee - RBC Capital Markets, Research Division Sean-Paul Adams - B. Riley Securities, Inc., Research Division Christopher Nolan - Ladenburg Thalmann & Co. Inc., Research Division Presentation Operator Good morning, everyone, and welcome to Blue Owl Capital Corporation's Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Call.
Blue Owl Capital Inc. ( OWL ) Q3 2025 Earnings Call October 30, 2025 10:00 AM EDT Company Participants Ann Dai - MD & Head of Investor Relations Marc S. Lipschultz - Co-Founder, Co-CEO & Director Alan Kirshenbaum - Chief Financial Officer Conference Call Participants Glenn Schorr - Evercore ISI Institutional Equities, Research Division Patrick Davitt - Autonomous Research US LP Brian Mckenna - Citizens JMP Securities, LLC, Research Division Craig Siegenthaler - BofA Securities, Research Division William Katz - TD Cowen, Research Division Benjamin Budish - Barclays Bank PLC, Research Division Crispin Love - Piper Sandler & Co., Research Division Brennan Hawken - BMO Capital Markets Equity Research Steven Chubak - Wolfe Research, LLC Alexander Blostein - Goldman Sachs Group, Inc., Research Division Christoph Kotowski - Oppenheimer & Co. Inc., Research Division Brian Bedell - Deutsche Bank AG, Research Division Presentation Operator Good morning, and welcome to Blue Owl Capital's Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Call.