Earnings will likely increase year-over-year because of the non-recurrence of merger-related expenses. Further, the average margin will be a lot higher this year. Loan growth will be very low in the year ahead because of a negative outlook for PFIS' biggest loan segment: Commercial Real Estate. I'm expecting the EPS to bounce back up to $5.56 in 2025 from $0.99 in 2024.
Peoples Bancorp's valuation has become more attractive after a recent market decline, prompting a rating upgrade to "buy" due to its high and sustainable dividend. The bank's loan portfolio grew by 4%, maintaining a low loan-to-deposit ratio of 83%, and deposits remain stable and low-cost. Despite a decline in loan yields, PEBO's asset quality is high, non-performing assets have decreased, and capital metrics have improved significantly.
Peoples Bancorp of North Carolina had a solid 2024 with a net profit of $16.4M and an EPS of $3.08, despite rising interest expenses. The bank's loan book is robust, with 45% in CRE loans and 35% in residential mortgages, and minimal past-due loans. PEBK's equity value increased to $131M, with a tangible book value of $24.64 per share, making the current stock price of $27.20 reasonable.
Despite the pre-market's negative reaction, I view Peoples Bancorp's quarterly results as positive, with low-cost deposits, improved loans, and a sustainable 5% dividend yield. The loan portfolio's conservative approach and high asset quality are strengths, though loan growth is sluggish and loan yield has decreased. Lower cost of liabilities and strong deposit management are expected to maintain high profitability, even if loan portfolio improvements are modest in 2025.
After declining in the third quarter, Peoples Bancorp's loan growth will likely recover as the regional economies are in satisfactory condition. Interest rate cuts will pressure the margin because the balance sheet is asset-sensitive. I have not factored in new tariffs in my rate outlook due to a lack of clarity. The December 2025 target price suggests a moderate upside from the current market price.
Peoples Financial Services, post-merger with FNCB Bancorp, now operates 39 branches across Pennsylvania, New Jersey, and New York, with $5.5 billion in assets. Despite recent earnings declines, the bank's 5.4% dividend yield and strong asset quality make it an attractive buy in a favorable rate environment. The bank is in a transition phase with new leadership and ongoing integration expenses, but the electronic banking network conversion is a positive sign.
Regional economic factors provide a mixed outlook for loan growth. I'm expecting loan growth to slow down from 2Q's level but remain at a satisfactory level. The net interest margin will likely face further pressure due to interest rate cuts. I'm expecting earnings to dip slightly this year and recover next year.
NEWTON, NC / ACCESSWIRE / July 31, 2024 / Robert Abernethy, Chairman of the Board of Peoples Bancorp of North Carolina (Nasdaq:PEBK) announced today that Bill Cable has been appointed by the Board of Directors to assume the role of President and CEO on September 19, 2024 with the upcoming retirement of Lance Sellers in early 2025. Mr. Abernethy commented on the appointment by saying "Peoples Bank has been very fortunate to have a talented and dedicated team of senior executives.
NEWTON, NC / ACCESSWIRE / July 22, 2024 / Peoples Bancorp of North Carolina, Inc. (NASDAQ:PEBK) (the "Company"), the parent company of Peoples Bank (the "Bank"), reported second quarter 2024 results with highlights as follows: Second quarter 2024 highlights: Net earnings were $4.9 million or $0.93 per share and $0.89 per diluted share for the three months ended June 30, 2024, compared to $4.8 million or $0.88 per share and $0.85 per diluted share for the same period one year ago. Net interest margin was 3.34% for the three months ended June 30, 2024, compared to 3.56% for the three months ended June 30, 2023.
NEWTON, NC / ACCESSWIRE / June 25, 2024 / Peoples Bancorp of North Carolina, Inc. (NASDAQ:PEBK), the parent company of Peoples Bank, Newton, NC announced today that its Board of Directors has authorized a stock repurchase program, whereby up to $2 million will be allocated to repurchase the Company's common stock. At March 31, 2024, the Company had assets of $1.7 billion and stockholder's equity of $121.1 million.
Peoples Bancorp is a small bank that is outperforming its peers in terms of net interest margin and funding costs. The bank has a strong liquidity position and is expected to see growth in premium finance, C&I, and CRE segments. PEBO's dividend yield is above the industry average, but its dividend growth prospects are uncertain due to recent slower growth rates.