The Schwab US Dividend Equity ETF (SCHD) has moved sideways in the past few weeks as the recent rally has stalled. After peaking at $35, and becoming the biggest dividend ETF, it has retreated to $34.55, and formed several bearish patterns that may lead to a brief pullback in the near term.
The 4-Factor Dividend Growth Strategy, inspired by SCHD, targets high-quality, growth-oriented dividend stocks using a rules-based, four-metric screen. Since inception, the 4-factor strategy has averaged a 14.89% return, marginally outperforming SCHD's 14.40%, though recent SCHD strength has narrowed the gap. Monthly portfolio cycles typically outperform SCHD, with July showing the highest alpha (+14.68%), but recent months indicate SCHD may surpass some cycles.
SCHD and JEPI both promise retirement income, but they run on completely different engines and reward very different kinds of investors. Picking the wrong one for your situation quietly costs you more than most retirees realize.
Three popular income ETFs can deposit identical-looking checks while the IRS quietly applies three separate tax treatments, and the wrong account placement can cost a retiree thousands before a single share is sold.
The Schwab US Dividend ETF (SCHD) has continued its strong rally this year, reaching a record high of $35.30, up 27% from where it started the year. This rally has allowed the fund to outperform popular indices such as the Dow Jones, Nasdaq 100, and S&P 500.
The Schwab US Dividend Equity ETF outperformed expectations, rising 27% YTD, but caution is warranted going forward. SCHD's dividend growth has stagnated, with H1 year-over-year growth at just 0.08%, now trailing inflation. Fixed income now offers higher yields than SCHD, reducing its relative appeal for income-focused investors amid rising rates.
SCHD just delivered a return most dividend investors spend a decade waiting for, and that success created a problem nobody predicted.
A $10,000 stake in a single dividend ETF at launch now generates a level of annual income that no fresh investment in any comparable fund can realistically match today, and the structural reason why reveals exactly how dividend compounding actually
Retirees face a challenging trade-off: higher-yielding assets sacrifice growth or add risk, while core dividend ETFs like SCHD now yield only ~3%. Relying solely on high-yield ETFs (PFF, HYG, JEPQ) exposes portfolios to credit risk, limited income growth, or capped upside, complicating sustainable income generation. A core & satellite approach—anchoring with SCHD-like holdings and selectively adding midstream (AMLP) and BDCs (BIZD) can enhance yield while managing risk.
Schwab U.S. Dividend Equity ETF has delivered a stunning 31% total return over the past year, outperforming my already bullish expectations and the S&P 500. SCHD's valuation at a 13.5x P/E remains well below the S&P 500, with sector allocations favoring healthcare, consumer defensive, and energy over technology. Current momentum is strong, but SCHD's dividend yield has dropped below 3%, and the risk-reward is less appealing as the valuation gap narrows.
Most investors reach for TIPS or commodities when inflation starts eroding their savings, but two overlooked asset classes have quietly outpaced rising prices for decades.
Investors chasing higher payouts than what typical U.S. blue chips deliver keep landing on the same benchmark: the Schwab U.S.