Texas Roadhouse (TXRH) came out with quarterly earnings of $1.28 per share, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.53 per share. This compares to earnings of $1.73 per share a year ago.
Get a deeper insight into the potential performance of Texas Roadhouse (TXRH) for the quarter ended December 2025 by going beyond Wall Street's top-and-bottom-line estimates and examining the estimates for some of its key metrics.
Texas Roadhouse (TXRH) doesn't possess the right combination of the two key ingredients for a likely earnings beat in its upcoming report. Get prepared with the key expectations.
Investors need to pay close attention to TXRH stock based on the movements in the options market lately.
Texas Roadhouse earns a buy rating due to consistent profitable expansion, robust comps, and reasonable valuation. TXRH has delivered a 10-year revenue CAGR of 12.75% and a net income CAGR of ~16.8%, outperforming peers in a challenging industry environment. Comparable sales rose 6% in Q3, driven by 4% traffic growth and 2% higher average check, demonstrating operational resilience.
Texas Roadhouse plans about 35 new company-owned restaurants in 2026, betting steady unit growth can sustain momentum despite inflation and higher capital spending.
Texas Roadhouse, Inc. is now attractively valued after an 18% pullback, trading at 26x forward earnings. Near-term TXRH earnings growth is constrained by elevated beef and wage inflation, with margins likely to stay at multi-year lows until at least 2027. Long-term outlook is compelling: margin recovery and 23% EPS growth are expected by 2027 as commodity pressures normalize.
Texas Roadhouse (TXRH) remains a long-term buy due to strong execution, brand loyalty, and disciplined financial management despite recent stock volatility. TXRH faces near-term margin pressure from beef inflation and commodity costs, but continues to grow sales, expand its footprint, and leverage digital and delivery channels. The company's expansion plans include new company-owned and franchise restaurants, and a growing retail segment, supporting its long-term growth thesis.
Texas Roadhouse, Inc. ( TXRH ) Q3 2025 Earnings Call November 6, 2025 5:00 PM EST Company Participants Gerald Morgan - CEO & Executive Vice Chairman Keith Humpich - Interim CFO, VP of Finance & Principal Accounting Officer Michael Bailen - Head of Investor Relations Conference Call Participants David Palmer - Evercore ISI Institutional Equities, Research Division Sara Senatore - BofA Securities, Research Division Gregory Francfort - Guggenheim Securities, LLC, Research Division Jacob Aiken-Phillips - Melius Research LLC David Tarantino - Robert W. Baird & Co. Incorporated, Research Division Brian Bittner - Oppenheimer & Co. Inc., Research Division Peter Saleh - BTIG, LLC, Research Division Jeffrey Bernstein - Barclays Bank PLC, Research Division Brian Harbour - Morgan Stanley, Research Division Brian Vaccaro - Raymond James & Associates, Inc., Research Division Dennis Geiger - UBS Investment Bank, Research Division Andrew Barish - Jefferies LLC, Research Division Lauren Silberman - Deutsche Bank AG, Research Division John Ivankoe - JPMorgan Chase & Co, Research Division Andrew Strelzik - BMO Capital Markets Equity Research James Salera - Stephens Inc., Research Division Zachary Fadem - Wells Fargo Securities, LLC, Research Division Jake Bartlett - Truist Securities, Inc., Research Division Presentation Operator Good evening, and welcome to the Texas Roadhouse Third Quarter Earnings Conference Call.
While the top- and bottom-line numbers for Texas Roadhouse (TXRH) give a sense of how the business performed in the quarter ended September 2025, it could be worth looking at how some of its key metrics compare to Wall Street estimates and year-ago values.
Texas Roadhouse (TXRH) came out with quarterly earnings of $1.25 per share, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.28 per share. This compares to earnings of $1.26 per share a year ago.
Besides Wall Street's top-and-bottom-line estimates for Texas Roadhouse (TXRH), review projections for some of its key metrics to gain a deeper understanding of how the company might have fared during the quarter ended September 2025.