TeraWulf remains a Buy with a $16.50 price target, offering 50% upside despite recent volatility and a 22% price drop. WULF posted 87% year-over-year revenue growth in FQ3 2025 but missed analyst estimates, leading to a 14% post-earnings sell-off. Key bullish factors include Google-backed partnerships, AI data center expansion, and strong Bitcoin mining performance, supporting long-term growth potential.
WULF finally nears my Buy Zone after the recent meltdown, as it also reports robust AI related opportunities and higher multi-year contracted backlog. The company is more than well positioned to monetize their ambitious "target of 250–500 MW critical IT load of new HPC lease signings annually," thanks to the growing HPC capacity. WULF's projected NOI margin of over ~70% is extremely impressive as well, compared to other data center REITs, with it implying its robust top/ bottom-line growth prospects.
WULF's Q3 loss balloons to $455M amid soaring costs and $5B+ debt. With execution risks mounting, investors should avoid this overvalued pivot play.
TeraWulf Inc. ( WULF ) Q3 2025 Earnings Call November 10, 2025 4:30 PM EST Company Participants John Larkin - Senior VP & Director of Investor Relations Paul Prager - Co-Founder, Chairman & CEO Patrick Fleury - Chief Financial Officer Nazar Khan - Co-Founder, CTO & Executive Director Conference Call Participants Mike Grondahl - Northland Capital Markets, Research Division Nick Giles - B. Riley Securities, Inc., Research Division Dillon Heslin - ROTH Capital Partners, LLC, Research Division Christopher Brendler - Rosenblatt Securities Inc., Research Division Stephen Glagola - JonesTrading Institutional Services, LLC, Research Division Justin Pan John Todaro - Needham & Company, LLC, Research Division Timothy Horan - Oppenheimer & Co. Inc., Research Division Presentation Operator Greetings, and welcome to the TeraWulf 2025 Third Quarter Earnings Conference Call.
TeraWulf Inc. (WULF) came out with a quarterly loss of $0.07 per share versus the Zacks Consensus Estimate of a loss of $0.04. This compares to a loss of $0.05 per share a year ago.
TeraWulf's latest $9.5 billion, 25-year HPC deal with Fluidstack anchors predictable, multi-year revenue streams, and the joint venture structure spreads capital costs and limits WULF's upfront investment. WULF retains 51% control, managing expansion pace and operational decisions. The two Fluidstack deals provide up to $954 million in annual revenue potential, with projected NOI margins of 70% and a conservative asset value of $1.83 billion.
TeraWulf's new JV with Fluidstack boosts its HPC reach to 510 MW, improving long-term revenue visibility and prospects.
WULF's lofty valuation and widening losses overshadow gains from new AI and HPC deals, leaving investors wary.
TeraWulf is rapidly transitioning into a high-performance computing Data Center provider, benefiting from surging AI-driven CapEx investments. WULF's landmark deal with Fluidstack in August, backed by Google, significantly boosts its revenue backlog and cements its role with Tier 1 hyperscalers. The total value (based off of contracted value) of the Fluidstack deal now sits at $6.7B, following an option exercise shortly after the initial deal.
Q2 2025 revenue hit $47.6M (+34% YoY) with $14.5M EBITDA, signaling a shift beyond Bitcoin mining. Fluidstack–Google deal secures $3.7B over 10 years, expandable to $8.7B with added capacity. Google's $3.2B backstop and 14% stake strengthen credit profile and unlock cheaper capital.
TeraWulf is pivoting from crypto mining to AI/HPC data center infrastructure, securing major deals with Core42 and Google/Fluidstack. TeraWulf's partnerships could generate up to $15.7B in revenue over a decade, with Google backstopping $3.2B in lease obligations and taking a 14% equity stake. Aggressive buildout targets and innovative deal structures position TeraWulf for rapid growth, with analysts forecasting near 100% CAGR in revenue over two years.
WULF's timely transition to HPC opportunities has been backed by the insatiable cloud demand and the higher data center related capex trends. This is especially since bitcoin miners face increasingly expensive operations from the April 2024 halving, the volatility arising from cryptocurrency trade, and the reduced supply moving forward. WULF has strategically leveraged its existing infrastructure across low-cost, predominantly zero-carbon power, racks, and cooling systems, along with veteran energy infrastructure management team.