Veteran geopolitical risk and national-security analyst advising investors on nonproliferation, sanctions and trade policy impacts to commodity, defense and emerging-market exposures. Jeffrey Kikoler blends government and think-tank experience with advisory roles to asset managers, translating policy shifts into scenario-driven investment risk assessments and event-driven trade ideas. Known for briefing boards and structuring compliance-aware risk frameworks for institutional portfolios.
Veteran geopolitical risk and national-security analyst advising investors on nonproliferation, sanctions and trade policy impacts to commodity, defense and emerging-market exposures. Jeffrey Kikoler blends government and think-tank experience with advisory roles to asset managers, translating policy shifts into scenario-driven investment risk assessments and event-driven trade ideas. Known for briefing boards and structuring compliance-aware risk frameworks for institutional portfolios.
Leverages deep geopolitical and national-security expertise to position capital around policy-driven shocks and regime-change scenarios. Emphasizes scenario-based underwriting, event-driven trades and tail-risk hedging across commodities, defense, trade-exposed EMs and sanction-vulnerable issuers. Allocates capital with a bias toward liquid, hedgable instruments for nimble response; integrates compliance and sanctions-avoidance into portfolio construction. Risk discipline centers on stress-testing, correlation analysis and contingent plans for regulatory disruption. Competitive edge is direct policy insight, government networks and rapid translation of intelligence into tradeable risk views.
Leverages deep geopolitical and national-security expertise to position capital around policy-driven shocks and regime-change scenarios. Emphasizes scenario-based underwriting, event-driven trades and tail-risk hedging across commodities, defense, trade-exposed EMs and sanction-vulnerable issuers. Allocates capital with a bias toward liquid, hedgable instruments for nimble response; integrates compliance and sanctions-avoidance into portfolio construction. Risk discipline centers on stress-testing, correlation analysis and contingent plans for regulatory disruption. Competitive edge is direct policy insight, government networks and rapid translation of intelligence into tradeable risk views.
| Trades 447 | Longs Won 374/447 83% | Profit Factor 49.38 |
| Profitability | Shorts Won 0/0 0% | Standard Deviation $1.14M |
| Average Win $181,882.88 | Best Trade (Aug 14) $20.96M | Sharpe Ratio -12.57 |
| Average Loss -$18,871.31 | Worst Trade (Aug 08) -$164,654.8 | Z-Score 26.1 (100%) |
| Commissions $0 | Avg. Trade Length 1y 1m 3w 5d | Expectancy $149,097.52 |
| Loss Size | 100% | 90% | 80% | 70% | 60% | 50% | 40% | 30% | 20% | 10% |
| Probability of Loss | <0.01% | <0.01% | <0.01% | <0.01% | <0.01% | <0.01% | <0.01% | <0.01% | <0.01% | 0.64% |
| Consecutive Losing Trades | 11,111 | 10,000 | 8,889 | 7,778 | 6,667 | 5,556 | 4,444 | 3,333 | 2,222 | 1,111 |
| Symbol | Quantity | Cost | Value | Comm. | Profit ($) | Gain (%) | Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AAPL Apple Inc. | 12,515 | $3.06M | $3.92M | - | $861,710.86 | 28.16% | +0.294% |
ABBV AbbVie Inc. | 1,311 | $306,256.43 | $322,361.79 | - | $16,105.36 | 5.26% | +0.828% |
AMAT Applied Materials, Inc. | 542 | $391,866 | $292,300.59 | - | -$99,565.41 | -25.41% | +2.241% |
AMD Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. | 991 | $202,731.73 | $479,128.69 | - | $276,396.96 | 136.34% | -1.185% |
AMZN Amazon.com Inc | 5,808 | $1.09M | $1.59M | - | $507,858.15 | 46.76% | +0.801% |
AVGO Broadcom Inc. | 2,861 | $454,650.05 | $1.22M | - | $768,498.95 | 169.03% | +1.654% |
BAC Bank of America Corporation | 4,046 | $230,541 | $255,545.36 | - | $25,004.36 | 10.85% | +0.254% |
BIV Vanguard Intermediate-Term Bond ETF (likely mapping for ticker 0V1L) | 8,518 | $657,814.03 | $644,897.78 | - | -$12,916.25 | -1.96% | +0.225% |
BRK-B Berkshire Hathaway Inc. | 1,063 | $430,610.59 | $554,673.4 | - | $124,062.81 | 28.81% | -0.536% |
COST Costco Wholesale Corporation | 291 | $266,060.67 | $275,806.88 | - | $9,746.21 | 3.66% | -0.143% |
CSCO Cisco Systems, Inc. | 2,228 | $261,701 | $270,523.76 | - | $8,822.76 | 3.37% | +0.447% |
EFA iShares MSCI EAFE ETF | 3,542 | $316,619 | $384,484.1 | - | $67,865.1 | 21.43% | +1.108% |
ESGV Vanguard ESG U.S. Stock ETF | 7,552 | $671,311.52 | $1.04M | - | $364,143.2 | 54.24% | +0.809% |
GE General Electric Company | 755 | $217,845.19 | $279,387.74 | - | $61,542.55 | 28.25% | -1.201% |
GEV GE Vernova Inc. | 172 | $202,076 | $170,300.64 | - | -$31,775.36 | -15.72% | -1.018% |
GOOG Alphabet Inc | 2,841 | $505,943.36 | $1M | - | $498,037.66 | 98.44% | -0.906% |
GOOGL Alphabet Inc | 3,492 | $647,954.88 | $1.24M | - | $589,086.12 | 90.91% | -0.978% |
GS The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. | 228 | $230,592 | $236,935.31 | - | $6,343.31 | 2.75% | +0.64% |
IAU iShares Gold Trust | 3,708 | $322,659.84 | $302,832.36 | - | -$19,827.48 | -6.15% | +2.254% |
IEFA iShares Core MSCI EAFE ETF | 6,590 | $482,052.81 | $666,117.21 | - | $184,064.4 | 38.18% | +1.09% |