Veteran geopolitical risk and national-security analyst advising investors on nonproliferation, sanctions and trade policy impacts to commodity, defense and emerging-market exposures. Jeffrey Kikoler blends government and think-tank experience with advisory roles to asset managers, translating policy shifts into scenario-driven investment risk assessments and event-driven trade ideas. Known for briefing boards and structuring compliance-aware risk frameworks for institutional portfolios.
Veteran geopolitical risk and national-security analyst advising investors on nonproliferation, sanctions and trade policy impacts to commodity, defense and emerging-market exposures. Jeffrey Kikoler blends government and think-tank experience with advisory roles to asset managers, translating policy shifts into scenario-driven investment risk assessments and event-driven trade ideas. Known for briefing boards and structuring compliance-aware risk frameworks for institutional portfolios.
Leverages deep geopolitical and national-security expertise to position capital around policy-driven shocks and regime-change scenarios. Emphasizes scenario-based underwriting, event-driven trades and tail-risk hedging across commodities, defense, trade-exposed EMs and sanction-vulnerable issuers. Allocates capital with a bias toward liquid, hedgable instruments for nimble response; integrates compliance and sanctions-avoidance into portfolio construction. Risk discipline centers on stress-testing, correlation analysis and contingent plans for regulatory disruption. Competitive edge is direct policy insight, government networks and rapid translation of intelligence into tradeable risk views.
Leverages deep geopolitical and national-security expertise to position capital around policy-driven shocks and regime-change scenarios. Emphasizes scenario-based underwriting, event-driven trades and tail-risk hedging across commodities, defense, trade-exposed EMs and sanction-vulnerable issuers. Allocates capital with a bias toward liquid, hedgable instruments for nimble response; integrates compliance and sanctions-avoidance into portfolio construction. Risk discipline centers on stress-testing, correlation analysis and contingent plans for regulatory disruption. Competitive edge is direct policy insight, government networks and rapid translation of intelligence into tradeable risk views.
| Trades 385 | Longs Won 333/385 86% | Profit Factor 131.86 |
| Profitability | Shorts Won 0/0 0% | Standard Deviation $1.18M |
| Average Win $194,865.83 | Best Trade (Jul 15) $19.83M | Sharpe Ratio -12.71 |
| Average Loss -$9,463.55 | Worst Trade (Jul 10) -$190,098.53 | Z-Score 29.91 (100%) |
| Commissions $0 | Avg. Trade Length 1y 2m 3d | Expectancy $167,268.09 |
| Loss Size | 100% | 90% | 80% | 70% | 60% | 50% | 40% | 30% | 20% | 10% |
| Probability of Loss | <0.01% | <0.01% | <0.01% | <0.01% | <0.01% | <0.01% | <0.01% | <0.01% | <0.01% | 0.67% |
| Consecutive Losing Trades | 21,277 | 19,149 | 17,021 | 14,894 | 12,766 | 10,638 | 8,511 | 6,383 | 4,255 | 2,128 |