Veteran geopolitical risk and national-security analyst advising investors on nonproliferation, sanctions and trade policy impacts to commodity, defense and emerging-market exposures. Jeffrey Kikoler blends government and think-tank experience with advisory roles to asset managers, translating policy shifts into scenario-driven investment risk assessments and event-driven trade ideas. Known for briefing boards and structuring compliance-aware risk frameworks for institutional portfolios.
Veteran geopolitical risk and national-security analyst advising investors on nonproliferation, sanctions and trade policy impacts to commodity, defense and emerging-market exposures. Jeffrey Kikoler blends government and think-tank experience with advisory roles to asset managers, translating policy shifts into scenario-driven investment risk assessments and event-driven trade ideas. Known for briefing boards and structuring compliance-aware risk frameworks for institutional portfolios.
Leverages deep geopolitical and national-security expertise to position capital around policy-driven shocks and regime-change scenarios. Emphasizes scenario-based underwriting, event-driven trades and tail-risk hedging across commodities, defense, trade-exposed EMs and sanction-vulnerable issuers. Allocates capital with a bias toward liquid, hedgable instruments for nimble response; integrates compliance and sanctions-avoidance into portfolio construction. Risk discipline centers on stress-testing, correlation analysis and contingent plans for regulatory disruption. Competitive edge is direct policy insight, government networks and rapid translation of intelligence into tradeable risk views.
Leverages deep geopolitical and national-security expertise to position capital around policy-driven shocks and regime-change scenarios. Emphasizes scenario-based underwriting, event-driven trades and tail-risk hedging across commodities, defense, trade-exposed EMs and sanction-vulnerable issuers. Allocates capital with a bias toward liquid, hedgable instruments for nimble response; integrates compliance and sanctions-avoidance into portfolio construction. Risk discipline centers on stress-testing, correlation analysis and contingent plans for regulatory disruption. Competitive edge is direct policy insight, government networks and rapid translation of intelligence into tradeable risk views.
| Trades 447 | Longs Won 379/447 84% | Profit Factor 51.26 |
| Profitability | Shorts Won 0/0 0% | Standard Deviation $1.18M |
| Average Win $181,822.46 | Best Trade (Oct 14) $21.32M | Sharpe Ratio -12.57 |
| Average Loss -$19,768.72 | Worst Trade (Oct 15) -$159,087.84 | Z-Score 27.63 (100%) |
| Commissions $0 | Avg. Trade Length 1y 2m 3w 2d | Expectancy $151,155.34 |
| Loss Size | 100% | 90% | 80% | 70% | 60% | 50% | 40% | 30% | 20% | 10% |
| Probability of Loss | <0.01% | <0.01% | <0.01% | <0.01% | <0.01% | <0.01% | <0.01% | <0.01% | <0.01% | 0.81% |
| Consecutive Losing Trades | 10,638 | 9,574 | 8,511 | 7,447 | 6,383 | 5,319 | 4,255 | 3,191 | 2,128 | 1,064 |
| Symbol | Quantity | Cost | Value | Comm. | Profit ($) | Gain (%) | Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AAPL Apple Inc. | 12,515 | $3.06M | $4.32M | - | $1.26M | 41.03% | +0.533% |
ABBV AbbVie Inc. | 1,311 | $306,256.43 | $376,506.09 | - | $70,249.66 | 22.94% | +1.931% |
AMAT Applied Materials, Inc. | 542 | $391,866 | $232,778.16 | - | -$159,087.84 | -40.6% | -3.84% |
AMD Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. | 991 | $202,731.73 | $543,940.08 | - | $341,208.35 | 168.31% | -3.844% |
AMZN Amazon.com Inc | 5,808 | $1.09M | $1.47M | - | $387,632.55 | 35.69% | -0.134% |
AVGO Broadcom Inc. | 2,861 | $454,650.05 | $971,195.06 | - | $516,545.01 | 113.61% | -1.961% |
BAC Bank of America Corporation | 4,046 | $230,541 | $210,088.55 | - | -$20,452.45 | -8.87% | +1.041% |
BIV Vanguard Intermediate-Term Bond ETF (likely mapping for ticker 0V1L) | 8,518 | $657,814.03 | $626,328.54 | - | -$31,485.49 | -4.79% | +0.63% |
BRK-B Berkshire Hathaway Inc. | 1,063 | $430,610.59 | $561,465.97 | - | $130,855.38 | 30.39% | +0.35% |
COST Costco Wholesale Corporation | 291 | $266,060.67 | $287,484.72 | - | $21,424.05 | 8.05% | +0.603% |
CSCO Cisco Systems, Inc. | 2,228 | $261,701 | $242,740.6 | - | -$18,960.4 | -7.25% | -4.127% |
EFA iShares MSCI EAFE ETF | 3,542 | $316,619 | $366,101.12 | - | $49,482.12 | 15.63% | +0.594% |
ESGV Vanguard ESG U.S. Stock ETF | 7,552 | $671,311.52 | $1.03M | - | $357,233.12 | 53.21% | +0.261% |
GE General Electric Company | 755 | $217,845.19 | $233,876.34 | - | $16,031.15 | 7.36% | +0.896% |
GEV GE Vernova Inc. | 172 | $202,076 | $157,253.58 | - | -$44,822.42 | -22.18% | -2.922% |
GOOG Alphabet Inc | 2,841 | $505,943.36 | $980,059.77 | - | $474,116.41 | 93.71% | +0.384% |
GOOGL Alphabet Inc | 3,492 | $647,954.88 | $1.22M | - | $571,276.92 | 88.17% | +0.434% |
GS The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. | 228 | $230,592 | $201,118.8 | - | -$29,473.2 | -12.78% | +0.385% |
IAU iShares Gold Trust | 3,708 | $322,659.84 | $288,891.39 | - | -$33,768.45 | -10.47% | +1.09% |
IEFA iShares Core MSCI EAFE ETF | 6,590 | $482,052.81 | $634,814.7 | - | $152,761.89 | 31.69% | +0.48% |