These ETFs have long-term merit despite a rocky year so far.
The real estate cycle will finally transition from the "Recession" phase to the "Recovery" phase in 2025. Muted supply growth will be the silver-lining to the brutal three-year bear market. False Start: REITs surged 20% leading up to the Fed's initial "jumbo" interest rate cut in September, but have hit the skids once again since the rate cuts actually began. Historically Cheap: REITs have underperformed the S&P 500 by a whopping 45 percentage points since the start of the Fed hiking cycle in 2022 - a historically remarkable underperformance gap.
Have you checked on your fixed income allocation lately? It's one thing to buy an ETF tracking the Bloomberg US Aggregate Index, (BBUSATR), or the AGG.
Advisors and investors have long turned to active management for fixed income exposure. They are increasingly favoring ETFs to access the markets.
U.S. equity markets climbed to fresh record-highs while benchmark interest rates dipped sharply, as investors parsed inflation data and deliberated the potential implementation and impacts of Trump Administration policies. Markets cheered the nomination of Scott Bessent for US Treasury Secretary, reflecting expectations that the implementation of hawkish trade and immigration policies would consider the impacts on U.S. financial markets. Extending its post-election gains to around 6%, the S&P 500 advanced another 1.2% this week. The Small-Cap 600 gained 1.1% this week - lifting its post-election gains to over 10%.
Economic growth estimates are stabilizing, with healthy retail sales and job market improvements, suggesting a decent US GDP growth heading into 2025. I maintain a buy rating on AGG, as its yield is significantly higher than cash accounts, despite inflation risks and Fed policy uncertainties. AGG offers broad exposure to investment-grade bonds with a yield to maturity of 4.85%, making it attractive relative to historical averages.
The U.S. ETF industry is about to hit a tremendous milestone. Year to date through November 11, $897 billion has flowed into exchange traded funds, according to FactSet data.
Today is Veterans Day. My father served in the army during the Vietnam War.
Ahead of a pivotal week of consequential decisions, U.S. equity markets posted a second-straight week of declines as investors parsed a relatively disappointing slate of employment and inflation data. The pivotal Nonfarm Payrolls report showed that the U.S. economy added just 12k jobs in October - the weakest month since 2020 - with notably weaker trends under the surface. Private employment declined by 28k during the month, fueled by the largest plunge in manufacturing employment since the pandemic shutdown, alongside job declines in retail, transportation, and hospitality.
These ETFs provide different types of income.
We love to celebrate ETF milestones at VettaFi, whether it is a well-established ETF hitting an even higher round number or newer products proving that age is not a factor. Last week, the first U.S.-listed ETF, the SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY), crossed a new threshold.