Despite the fanfare, the artificial intelligence (AI) revolution has just begun. With the AI market valued at $189 billion in 2023, the United Nations believes it will become a $4.8 trillion market by 2033.
Advanced Micro Devices (AMD 4.81%) stock closed out Wednesday's daily session with big gains. The semiconductor company's share price rose 4.9% in a day of trading that saw the S&P 500 index climb 1.6% and the Nasdaq Composite rise 2.5%.
The uncertainty that has gripped the market recently has been palpable. Concerns about the on-again, off-again tariffs, a high-profile spat between the White House and the Federal Reserve Bank, and the ongoing trade war with China have raised concerns about the impact on the broader economy and led to historic volatility.
The tariff-driven stock market sell-off has put the indexes into a correction phase, hitting artificial intelligence (AI) stocks hard. Many of these stocks lost one-third or more of their value, and a few sell for less than half of their recent highs.
In the closing of the recent trading day, Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) stood at $86.26, denoting a +0.82% change from the preceding trading day.
I reiterate a "Buy" rating on Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. with a fair value of $104 per share, driven by strong growth in EPYC and Ryzen processors. AMD's Ryzen 9000, utilizing Zen 5 architecture, has captured 70% of the desktop power processor market, competing effectively with Intel's 15th Gen. Anticipate 25% revenue growth for FY25, driven by data center segment growth (35%) and client segment growth (30%), despite $800M impact from export controls.
A 10% hit to Advanced Micro Devices, Inc.'s EPS in 2025 is quite likely, yet the consensus on Wall Street has only priced in a 3% drop so far. To be specific, I believe the market is underestimating the risk of AMD's $800M inventory charge if export licenses aren't approved, which is a likely scenario. Another headwind includes the upcoming tariffs on semiconductors, which can range anywhere from 25% to 100%. AMD imports a significant amount of AI chips from TSMC.
Recently, Zacks.com users have been paying close attention to Advanced Micro (AMD). This makes it worthwhile to examine what the stock has in store.
A rising tide lifts all boats, and that applies to AMD with respect to the strong growth in the AI data center market. While its top-end chips are comparable to those of Nvidia, it is still hampered by networking and software, although these matter somewhat less in the inference market. But they don't have to beat Nvidia, AMD is benefiting from the high cost and scarcity of high-end Nvidia chips.
In the current environment, it seems antithetical to say anything positive about Advanced Micro Devices (AMD -0.88%). The semiconductor stock has lost more than 60% of its value over the last 13 months as industry struggles and tariff-related worries have weighed on the company.
Stocks across industries have suffered in recent times, amid concerns that President Trump's tariffs on imports would crush earnings and economic growth. But investors have been particularly worried about technology companies as many rely on producing their goods abroad.
I reiterate my "Strong Buy" rating for AMD, citing massive undervaluation and strong growth prospects in AI and data center markets despite recent stock underperformance. AMD's Q4 revenue of ~$7.6 billion and EPS of $1.09 beat expectations, driven by significant growth in the data center segment. The potential $800 million tariff-related charge is manageable, with AMD's diversification and strong AI and server market positioning mitigating long-term risks.