REITs have significantly underperformed in recent years. But a big market reversal is underway. REITs are now massively outperforming, and I expect this to continue.
We are not passive buy-and-hold investors. We will regularly sell positions to reinvest in better opportunities. I highlight one such opportunity in the REIT sector today.
AvalonBay (AVB) reported earnings 30 days ago. What's next for the stock?
AVB reports improvement in economic occupancy and like-term effective rent change for its same-store residential portfolio, doubles its portfolio size in Texas.
AvalonBay Communities offers "sleep well at night" qualities through a strong balance sheet and strategic focus on suburban markets with limited new supply. AVB's operational efficiencies and robust development pipeline, supported by pre-funded equity, position it for sustained growth and attractive deal terms. The stock's forward P/FFO of 19.3 is below its historical average, making it reasonably attractive despite not being a deep bargain.
AvalonBay Communities, Inc. (NYSE:AVB ) Q4 2024 Earnings Conference Call February 6, 2025 1:00 PM ET Company Participants Jason Reilley – Vice President-Investor Relations Ben Schall – President and Chief Executive Officer Kevin O'Shea – Chief Financial Officer Sean Breslin – Chief Operating Officer Matt Birenbaum – Chief Investment Officer Conference Call Participants Eric Wolfe – Citibank Jamie Feldman – Wells Fargo Austin Wurschmidt – KeyBanc Capital Markets Jeff Spector – Bank of America Nick Yulico – Scotiabank John Pawlowski – Green Street Advisors Adam Kramer – Morgan Stanley Rich Hightower – Barclays Alexander Goldfarb – Piper Sandler Rich Anderson – Wedbush Securities Michael Goldsmith – UBS Alex Kim – Zelman and Associates Operator Good afternoon, ladies and gentlemen, and welcome to AvalonBay Communities Fourth Quarter 2024 Earnings Conference Call. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode.
Higher expenses hurt AVB's Q4 results. However, a rise in same-store residential revenues and NOI offers some support.
Although the revenue and EPS for AvalonBay (AVB) give a sense of how its business performed in the quarter ended December 2024, it might be worth considering how some key metrics compare with Wall Street estimates and the year-ago numbers.
AvalonBay Communities (AVB) came out with quarterly funds from operations (FFO) of $2.80 per share, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $2.83 per share. This compares to FFO of $2.74 per share a year ago.
The Chilton REIT Strategy, founded by Bruce Garrison, has achieved an annualized total return of +9.3% gross of fees over 20 years. Successful REITs are characterized by strong management, a focused strategy, high insider ownership, and financial strength, as outlined in 'The Ten Commandments of REIT Investing.' Public REITs, with superior balance sheets and access to capital, are well-positioned to outperform private equity alternatives in a higher interest rate environment.
Beyond analysts' top -and-bottom-line estimates for AvalonBay (AVB), evaluate projections for some of its key metrics to gain a better insight into how the business might have performed for the quarter ended December 2024.
AvalonBay's Q4 results are likely to show the benefits of its diversified portfolio and technological initiatives despite elevated deliveries and high interest expenses.