Nebius and CoreWeave receive upgrades as Wall Street believes strong AI demand is supporting favorable contract pricing.
CoreWeave has shed nearly half its value from its 52-week high, but a triple-digit backlog and a fresh wave of AI commitments point to a setup that bears may be dangerously underestimating.
CoreWeave shares have tumbled almost 40% from their May highs as debt fears spooked investors. But one analyst believes the selloff has been overblown.
Rothschild Redburn opened bearish coverage on two of the market's most-watched AI infrastructure names, initiating Sell ratings on both Nebius Group and CoreWeave.
CoreWeave's $40 million annualized revenue per MW signals powerful scarcity pricing, while newer contracts are generating stronger contribution margins. CoreWeave is expanding beyond GPU rentals, with non GPU products exceeding $400 million ARR and managed inference surpassing $100 million. The balance sheet remains the central risk, with $35.6 billion of debt and 2026 capex expected at $35 billion to $39 billion.
CRWV's $104.2B backlog and surging AI demand support strong growth visibility, but heavy capex, rising interest costs and execution remain key tests.
CoreWeave deployed Vera Rubin NVL72 clusters, expanding its next-gen AI platform as heavy capex and rising interest costs raise execution stakes.
CoreWeave's backlog and revenue are surging, but heavy capex, rising interest costs and customer concentration keep pressure on the growth story.
CoreWeave's $104.2B backlog and lower forward sales multiple support its growth case, but heavy funding needs and losses keep profitability in focus.
Shares of CoreWeave (NASDAQ:CRWV) are down 3.5% in midday trading, changing hands near $80 while the broader tape rallies. The S&P 500 ETF SPY is up 0.9% in the same session, sharpening the underperformance.
CoreWeave (CRWV) shares opened in the red on September 17 after the artificial intelligence (AI) infrastructure giant said it plans on raising fresh capital via a debt offering. In its press release, CRWV management signalled a private offering of $3 billion in "convertible" senior notes due 2033, featuring an option for initial investors to purchase up to an additional $500 million in aggregate principal.
CoreWeave sits at a crossroads where triple-digit revenue growth collides with a balance sheet that would make most CFOs sweat, and the latest Nvidia headlines just handed investors a decision they cannot afford to get wrong.