Grindr's strong 1Q25 results highlight its leadership in the LGBTQ dating app market, driven by product innovation and user retention. We remain bullish on GRND, raising our target price to $30/share, supported by a 12x revenue multiple and a 26% upside. GRND's AI-powered Wingman feature and upcoming A-List feature enhance user experience and platform stickiness, setting it apart from competitors.
Grindr Inc. (GRND) came out with quarterly earnings of $0.09 per share, in line with the Zacks Consensus Estimate. This compares to earnings of $0.03 per share a year ago.
Grindr's Q4 results were in line with expectations, but shares fell due to slightly lower EBITDA guidance, presenting a buying opportunity. Product innovation and AI investments differentiate Grindr, driving user engagement and long-term revenue growth, making it the premier LGBTQ social app. Global expansion and favorable regulations, like same-sex marriage legalization, support Grindr's growth, with a $500m share buyback reflecting management's confidence.
Grindr Inc. (GRND) came out with quarterly earnings of $0.09 per share, in line with the Zacks Consensus Estimate. This compares to earnings of $0.04 per share a year ago.
Shares of Grindr dropped ~15% after reporting Q4 results, with investors reacting harshly to a slowdown in paid user adds and a slight margin pullback. The company's FY25 outlook also calls for a 10+ point deceleration in revenue growth to 24%, though we have to take this in context against the broader dating app industry. Grindr still maintains a healthy growth premium over its peers, with both Bumble and Match recently hitting negative revenue comps.
Grindr Inc. (NYSE:GRND ) Q4 2024 Earnings Conference Call March 5, 2025 5:00 PM ET Company Participants Tolu Adeofe - Head-Investor Relations George Arison - Chief Executive Officer Vanna Krantz - Chief Financial Officer Conference Call Participants Andrew Marok - Raymond James John Blackledge - TD Cowen Eric Sheridan - Goldman Sachs Operator Good afternoon. My name is Calvin and I'll be your conference operator today.
The biggest dating stocks have plunged in the past few years as consumers remained adamant about paying. Match Group and Bumble stocks have imploded, shedding billions of dollars in value.
Grindr expects revenue growth of 32-33% for 2024, driven by strong direct ad sales and subscriptions, maintaining an adj. EBITDA margin of at least 42%. The company redeemed public and private warrants, increasing stock float, which may attract institutional investors and reduce overhang over time. GRND's focus on product innovation and AI integration is expected to enhance platform stickiness and ARPPU growth, with a new target price of $22/share.
I see Grindr Inc. valuation at 23x forward free cash flow as an attractive entry point, given its revenue growth and profitability. The company's focus on monetization and improving user engagement sets it apart in a crowded market. Despite its debt, Grindr's financial position and consistent EBITDA margins give it room to deliver strong returns.
Grindr's investment in AI aims to enhance user experience, increase pricing power, and drive revenue growth, positioning it as a leader in the LGBTQ dating app market. The AI agent feature could significantly boost GRND's revenue, with an estimated 3% and 5% upside for 2025 and 2026, respectively. GRND's employee-centric model and innovative approach attract top talent, further solidifying its competitive edge in the global internet sector.
Social network app Grindr, Inc. (GRND) sees shares rise with more paying customers, added features.
The stock market is likely to extend this December rally into January. The next correction is due in February and March.